Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alianza Atl. vs Willy Serrato

Peru Peru

Segunda Division 2018 Estadio Campeones del 36
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division 2018 game between Alianza Atl. and Willy Serrato finished 8-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alianza Atl..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Alianza Atl.
6%
Draws
4%
Willy Serrato
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Alianza Atl.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Alianza Atl. carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Alianza Atl. are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Segunda Division 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Alianza Atl. Clean Sheet 68%
Willy Serrato Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza Atl. Willy Serrato
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 2
Draws 8 4
Losses 11 24
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2018 Liga 2
Alianza Atl. vs Willy Serrato
8:0
Apr 29, 2018 Liga 2
Willy Serrato vs Alianza Atl.
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza Atl. 95 / 100
Willy Serrato 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza Atl. Willy Serrato

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Willy Serrato let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.50 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Willy Serrato has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Alianza Atl. scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alianza Atl. VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cesar Vallejo28195455:1962
2Carlos Mannucci28167566:3055
3Cienciano28174763:3055
4Union Huaral28146858:3948
5Hualgayoc28139649:3848
6Juan Aurich28145951:2747
7Alianza Atl.28145948:3747
8Atletico Grau281261058:4242
9Deportivo Coopsol28910946:3237
10Los Chankas281141338:3637
11Los Caimanes28761538:5727
12Sport Victoria28671534:5425
13Sport Loreto28661638:6824
14Alfredo Salinas28561725:6621
15Willy Serrato28242223:11510