Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alianza Atl. vs Willy Serrato - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Segunda Division 2018 Estadio Campeones del 36, Sullana
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division 2018 game between Alianza Atl. and Willy Serrato finished 8-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alianza Atl..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Alianza Atl.
15%
Draws
0%
Willy Serrato
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alianza Atl.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Alianza Atl. carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Alianza Atl. are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Segunda Division 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Alianza Atl. Clean Sheet 68%
Willy Serrato Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza Atl. Willy Serrato
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 2
Draws 3 4
Losses 11 24
Goals Scored 1.84 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.35 4.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2018 Liga 2
Alianza Atl. vs Willy Serrato
8:0
Apr 29, 2018 Liga 2
Willy Serrato vs Alianza Atl.
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza Atl. 95 / 100
Willy Serrato 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza Atl. Willy Serrato

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alianza Atl. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Willy Serrato let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.50 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Willy Serrato has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Alianza Atl. scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alianza Atl. VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alianza Atl.

(Home)
06 Oct
Alianza Atl.
3 : 0
Sport Boys
27 Sept
Sport Boys
2 : 5
Alianza Atl.
18 Sept
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1
Comerciantes Unidos
13 Sept
Atletico Grau
3 : 1
Alianza Atl.
04 Sept
Alianza Atl.
3 : 2
Cajamarca
Page 1 of 7

Willy Serrato

(Away)
28 Oct
Union Huaral
11 : 0
Willy Serrato
21 Oct
Willy Serrato
0 : 3
Cesar Vallejo
14 Oct
Sport Victoria
8 : 1
Willy Serrato
29 Sept
Willy Serrato
1 : 3
Atletico Grau
23 Sept
Cienciano
9 : 1
Willy Serrato
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cesar Vallejo 28 19 5 4 55:19 62
2 Carlos Mannucci 28 16 7 5 66:30 55
3 Cienciano 28 17 4 7 63:30 55
4 Union Huaral 28 14 6 8 58:39 48
5 Hualgayoc 28 13 9 6 49:38 48
6 Juan Aurich 28 14 5 9 51:27 47
7 Alianza Atl. 28 14 5 9 48:37 47
8 Atletico Grau 28 12 6 10 58:42 42
9 Deportivo Coopsol 28 9 10 9 46:32 37
10 Los Chankas 28 11 4 13 38:36 37
11 Los Caimanes 28 7 6 15 38:57 27
12 Sport Victoria 28 6 7 15 34:54 25
13 Sport Loreto 28 6 6 16 38:68 24
14 Alfredo Salinas 28 5 6 17 25:66 21
15 Willy Serrato 28 2 4 22 23:115 10
Promotion - Segunda Division 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Segunda Division 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Segunda Division 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Segunda Division 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Segunda Division 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Segunda Division 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Segunda Division 2018 (Play Offs)