Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Nacional B 2024 game between Alianza Beni and Deportivo Aleman finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alianza Beni.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alianza Beni
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Alianza Beni carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Alianza Beni a 59% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Alianza Beni Clean Sheet 20%
Deportivo Aleman Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alianza Beni | Deportivo Aleman |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.46 | 1.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 2.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 15, 2024 Copa Simon Bolivar
Deportivo Aleman vs Alianza Beni
1:0
Aug 31, 2024 Copa Simon Bolivar
Alianza Beni vs Deportivo Aleman
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alianza Beni 76 / 100
Deportivo Aleman 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alianza Beni Deportivo Aleman
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Alianza Beni Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Deportivo Aleman let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.
Attacking prowess: Alianza Beni scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.
Recent resilience: Alianza Beni stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Deportivo Aleman lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Alianza Beni VS Deportivo Aleman
2 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Alianza Beni
(Home) 24 Nov
Alianza Beni
3 : 1 Academia del Balompie
15 Nov
Academia del Balompie
8 : 0 Alianza Beni
10 Nov
Alianza Beni
5 : 0 Oruro Royal
07 Nov
Oruro Royal
3 : 1 Alianza Beni
03 Nov
Alianza Beni
3 : 0 Real Potosi
Page 1 of 6
24 Nov
Alianza Beni
3 : 1 Academia del Balompie
10 Nov
Alianza Beni
5 : 0 Oruro Royal
03 Nov
Alianza Beni
3 : 0 Real Potosi
08 Sept
Alianza Beni
0 : 0 Tiquipaya
31 Aug
Alianza Beni
1 : 0 Deportivo Aleman
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Deportivo Aleman
(Away) 03 Nov
Oruro Royal
5 : 1 Deportivo Aleman
06 Oct
Deportivo Aleman
0 : 3 Oruro Royal
22 Sept
Tiquipaya
2 : 1 Deportivo Aleman
15 Sept
Deportivo Aleman
1 : 0 Alianza Beni
08 Sept
Deportivo Aleman
1 : 1 Moto Club
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03 Nov
Oruro Royal
5 : 1 Deportivo Aleman
22 Sept
Tiquipaya
2 : 1 Deportivo Aleman
31 Aug
Alianza Beni
1 : 0 Deportivo Aleman
24 Aug
Moto Club
1 : 2 Deportivo Aleman
12 Nov
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
4 : 0 Deportivo Aleman
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CDN Santa Cruz | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:6 | 13 |
| 2 | Petrolero de Yacuiba | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:3 | 11 |
| 3 | Stormers SC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:14 | 7 |
| 4 | Millonarios | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6:11 | 3 |
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universitario de Sucre | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 22:7 | 15 |
| 2 | Amanecer | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15:9 | 11 |
| 3 | Ciclon | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:14 | 5 |
| 4 | El Tejar | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9:24 | 2 |
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Beni | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:5 | 13 |
| 2 | Tiquipaya | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:3 | 13 |
| 3 | Deportivo Aleman | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Moto Club | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7:20 | 1 |
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:5 | 12 |
| 2 | Real Potosi | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:9 | 11 |
| 3 | Fatic | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:10 | 7 |
| 4 | Universitario de Tarija | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:18 | 4 |
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oruro Royal | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15:16 | 12 |
| 2 | Real Oruro | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 11 |
| 3 | Destroyers | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 6 |
| 4 | Rio San Juan | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8:14 | 3 |
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Academia del Balompie | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 19:11 | 11 |
| 2 | 3 de Febrero | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:10 | 10 |
| 3 | Wilstermann Cooperativas | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 8:7 | 8 |
| 4 | Vaca Diez | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:16 | 2 |
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
