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Alianza FC vs Atletico Marte

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2022/2023 Estadio Cuscatlán, San Salvador
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Chevez D.
69' Event
Mercado M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera Division 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Alianza FC
33%
Draws
27%
Atletico Marte
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Alianza FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alianza FC lately — more wins on the board than Atletico Marte.
  • Model gives Alianza FC a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera Division 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Alianza FC Clean Sheet 17%
Atletico Marte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza FC Atletico Marte
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 16 5
Draws 7 10
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.88 0
Goals Conceded 1.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2023 Primera Division
Atletico Marte vs Alianza FC
1:0
Feb 16, 2023 Primera Division
Alianza FC vs Atletico Marte
1:1
Oct 16, 2022 Primera Division
Atletico Marte vs Alianza FC
2:4
Sep 22, 2022 Primera Division
Alianza FC vs Atletico Marte
3:0
May 1, 2022 Primera Division
Atletico Marte vs Alianza FC
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alianza FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Mercado M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Atletico Marte Compare

Top Goalscorer Chevez D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza FC 39 / 100
Atletico Marte 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza FC Atletico Marte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alianza FC's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Atletico Marte let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Alianza FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alianza FC VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alianza FC

(Home)
30 Jul
Alianza FC
2 : 1
Antigua
26 Jul
Inca Aruba
1 : 3
Alianza FC
10 May
Alianza FC
0 : 2
Aguila
06 May
Aguila
2 : 1
Alianza FC
01 May
Fuerte San Francisco
0 : 1
Alianza FC
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Atletico Marte

(Away)
13 May
Atletico Marte
1 : 2
Chalatenango
07 May
Atletico Marte
1 : 2
Aguila
29 Apr
Jocoro
3 : 3
Atletico Marte
26 Apr
11 Deportivo
1 : 0
Atletico Marte
23 Apr
Atletico Marte
2 : 3
Platense Municipal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aguila22154334:1449
2Alianza FC22109332:1539
311 Deportivo22710523:1731
4Dragon2286823:2130
5Luis Angel Firpo22611520:1729
6Metapan2278729:2829
7FAS2276924:2627
8Jocoro22831125:3627
9Santa Tecla2267926:2925
10Chalatenango22741127:3925
11Atletico Marte2258925:3123
12Platense Municipal22561124:3921
Promotion - Primera Division 2022/2023 (Clausura - Play Offs)