Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alianza FC vs Jocoro

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2023/2024 Estadio Cuscatlán, San Salvador
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Rivas E.
41' Event
Julio S.
50' Event
Mercado M.

AI Match Summary

Alianza FC in this Primera Division 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alianza FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Alianza FC
35%
Draws
20%
Jocoro
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alianza FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Alianza FC have won more games recently than Jocoro.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Alianza FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Alianza FC Clean Sheet 20%
Jocoro Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza FC Jocoro
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 10 5
Losses 8 19
Goals Scored 1.38 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2024 Primera Division
Jocoro vs Alianza FC
1:2
Feb 8, 2024 Primera Division
Alianza FC vs Jocoro
5:0
Nov 26, 2023 Primera Division
Alianza FC vs Jocoro
2:2
Oct 1, 2023 Primera Division
Jocoro vs Alianza FC
3:2
Mar 30, 2023 Primera Division
Alianza FC vs Jocoro
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alianza FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivas E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Julio S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Jocoro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza FC 85 / 100
Jocoro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza FC Jocoro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alianza FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jocoro let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Alianza FC remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Alianza FC's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Alianza FC VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alianza FC

(Home)
04 Oct
Alianza FC
2 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
01 Oct
Alianza FC
2 : 1
Platense Municipal
27 Sept
Alianza FC
1 : 1
Inca Aruba
24 Sept
Alianza FC
2 : 2
Fuerte San Francisco
20 Sept
Alianza FC
3 : 2
Municipal Limeno
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Jocoro

(Away)
04 May
Santa Tecla
3 : 4
Jocoro
01 May
Jocoro
1 : 4
Luis Angel Firpo
28 Apr
Jocoro
0 : 1
Municipal Limeno
25 Apr
Metapan
2 : 0
Jocoro
21 Apr
Jocoro
0 : 0
Aguila
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza FC 22 13 6 3 39:13 45
2 Luis Angel Firpo 22 13 3 6 47:30 42
3 Municipal Limeno 22 12 3 7 33:25 39
4 Aguila 22 10 8 4 29:18 38
5 FAS 22 8 8 6 26:24 32
6 Platense Municipal 22 9 5 8 26:29 32
7 Metapan 22 9 4 9 24:22 31
8 11 Deportivo 22 8 7 7 22:24 31
9 Dragon 22 9 3 10 27:33 30
10 Santa Tecla 22 5 5 12 26:39 20
11 Fuerte San Francisco 22 4 5 13 19:30 17
12 Jocoro 22 2 3 17 13:44 9
Promotion - Primera Division 2023/2024 (Clausura - Play Offs)