Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alianza Huanuco vs Union Huaral

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2024 Estadio Heraclio Tapia
Sat, Apr 27, 2024
3 - 0
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alianza Huanuco host Union Huaral in the Liga 2 2024. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Alianza Huanuco at 1.5 goals for, 1.88 against; Union Huaral at 0 for, 0 against. Past meetings favor Alianza Huanuco slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 30, 2024, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.35 - 1.44) back Alianza Huanuco to edge this. Alianza Huanuco in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Alianza Huanuco
6%
Draws
4%
Union Huaral
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Alianza Huanuco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Alianza Huanuco have won more games recently than Union Huaral.
  • Alianza Huanuco are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Alianza Huanuco here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Alianza Huanuco Clean Sheet 16%
Union Huaral Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza Huanuco Union Huaral
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 17 2
Draws 6 5
Losses 14 23
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 1.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2024 Liga 2
Union Huaral vs Alianza Huanuco
0:3
Apr 27, 2024 Liga 2
Alianza Huanuco vs Union Huaral
3:0
Sep 27, 2023 Liga 2
Alianza Huanuco vs Union Huaral
1:0
Jul 3, 2023 Liga 2
Union Huaral vs Alianza Huanuco
1:2
Aug 14, 2022 Liga 2
Union Huaral vs Alianza Huanuco
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza Huanuco 84 / 100
Union Huaral 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza Huanuco Union Huaral

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alianza Huanuco found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (37 games).

Union Huaral has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Union Huaral's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Alianza Huanuco VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Alianza Huanuco1292130:729
2San Marcos1272325:1423
3Llacuabamba1263330:1021
4Pirata1251614:1916
5Juan Pablo II1243513:1515
6ADA Jaen1243516:2415
7Carlos Stein12001210:490
8Juan Aurich00000:00
9Union Huaral00000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Comerciantes FC1696126:1333
2Santos FC1674515:1225
3Ayacucho1673615:1424
4Dep. Municipal1648416:1520
5AD Cantolao1662816:2020
6Deportivo Coopsol1654721:2719
7U. San Martin1639419:2218
8Moquegua1625912:2211
9Binacional1671820:1510