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Alianza vs Dep. Pereira - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau, Valledupar
Our Tip

Match Events

56'
Lasso J.
58'
Sub
Quinones D. In: Pardo F.
Out: Quinones D.
61'
Pacheco W.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera A matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Alianza
30%
Draws
16%
Dep. Pereira
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alianza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Dep. Pereira haven't matched Alianza's recent run of results.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Alianza taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Alianza Clean Sheet 68%
Dep. Pereira Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza Dep. Pereira
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 8 4
Draws 10 10
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.03 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Primera A
Alianza vs Dep. Pereira
0:0
Apr 6, 2026 Primera A
Dep. Pereira vs Alianza
2:3
Jul 19, 2025 Primera A
Alianza vs Dep. Pereira
1:0
Feb 3, 2025 Primera A
Dep. Pereira vs Alianza
0:0
Sep 13, 2024 Primera A
Dep. Pereira vs Alianza
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza 59 / 100
Dep. Pereira 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza Dep. Pereira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alianza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alianza scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Dep. Pereira's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

Recent resilience: Alianza stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Dep. Pereira's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Alianza VS Dep. Pereira
1 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alianza

(Home)
09 Oct
Alianza
2 : 2
Aguilas Doradas
03 Oct
Dep. Cali
3 : 1
Alianza
27 Sept
Jaguares de Cordoba
1 : 2
Alianza
19 Sept
Alianza
1 : 4
Santa Fe
16 Sept
Chico
1 : 2
Alianza
Page 1 of 6

Dep. Pereira

(Away)
04 Oct
Cucuta
4 : 0
Dep. Pereira
29 Sept
Dep. Pereira
1 : 2
Santa Fe
26 Sept
Dep. Pereira
0 : 0
Inter Bogotá
18 Sept
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 2
Dep. Pereira
13 Sept
Dep. Pereira
1 : 3
Bucaramanga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America De Cali 12 8 3 1 24:7 27
2 Dep. Cali 12 7 3 2 20:9 24
3 Atl. Nacional 11 7 2 2 21:10 23
4 Bucaramanga 11 6 5 0 20:10 23
5 Santa Fe 12 6 4 2 19:12 22
6 Millonarios 14 5 7 2 19:12 22
7 Ind. Medellin 12 6 2 4 19:16 20
8 Deportes Tolima 13 5 5 3 15:13 20
9 Once Caldas 13 4 4 5 16:16 16
10 Aguilas Doradas 12 3 6 3 16:17 15
11 Cucuta 12 4 3 5 15:19 15
12 Llaneros 13 4 2 7 15:17 14
13 Inter Bogotá 13 2 7 4 14:18 13
14 Chico 11 3 3 5 10:18 12
15 Alianza 13 3 3 7 14:26 12
16 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 13 1 8 4 14:19 11
17 Junior 11 2 3 6 16:20 9
18 Dep. Pasto 12 2 3 7 9:18 9
19 Dep. Pereira 11 1 5 5 7:17 8
20 Jaguares de Cordoba 11 1 4 6 11:20 7
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)