Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alianza vs Plaza Amador

Panama Panama

LPF Estadio Javier Cruz
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alianza play Plaza Amador in the LPF. It looks like a close match. Recently, Alianza averaged 1.73 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Plaza Amador averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, Alianza won 1, Plaza Amador won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 23, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Alianza and 1.38 for Plaza Amador. This points to a Plaza Amador double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Alianza
33%
Draws
34%
Plaza Amador
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Plaza Amador

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Alianza picked up more points recently compared to Plaza Amador.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Alianza Clean Sheet 17%
Plaza Amador Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza Plaza Amador
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 16
Draws 11 7
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.73 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 LPF
Plaza Amador vs Alianza
3:2
Apr 12, 2026 LPF
Plaza Amador vs Alianza
1:1
Feb 7, 2026 LPF
Alianza vs Plaza Amador
1:1
Nov 29, 2025 LPF
Plaza Amador vs Alianza
2:0
Oct 26, 2025 LPF
Plaza Amador vs Alianza
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alianza Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Plaza Amador Compare

Top Goalscorer Murillo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza 33 / 100
Plaza Amador 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza Plaza Amador

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Plaza Amador or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Alianza attacking → ← attacking Plaza Amador

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alianza scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Plaza Amador let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Alianza went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Plaza Amador lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

53 Points in last 5 55
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Plaza Amador1694328:1631
2Alianza1669126:2027
3UMECIT1667328:2025
4Tauro1656522:1921
5Arabe Unido1663716:2021
6Sporting San Miguelito1646619:2118
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Veraguas1674526:2325
2Union Cocle1658316:1123
3Independiente1648418:1420
4San Francisco1655622:2520
5Union Deportivo Universitario1635819:2714
6Herrera16151013:378