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Alianza vs UMECIT - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Panama Panama

LPF Estadio Rommel Fernandez, Panama City
Alianza Logo

Alianza

0 - 0
FT
UMECIT Logo

UMECIT

Our Tip

Match Events

61'
Sub
Vargas D. In: Mitre R.
Out: Vargas D.
61'
Sub
Mendoza A. In: Garces J.
Out: Mendoza A.
62'
Sub
Oliveira D. In: Palmezano A.
Out: Oliveira D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this LPF matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Alianza
20%
Draws
56%
UMECIT
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UMECIT

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • UMECIT haven't matched Alianza's recent run of results.
  • UMECIT are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Alianza Clean Sheet 16%
UMECIT Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza UMECIT
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 12 11
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.31 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 CONCACAF Central American Cup
Alianza vs UMECIT
1:0
Jul 25, 2026 LPF
Alianza vs UMECIT
0:0
Apr 4, 2026 LPF
UMECIT vs Alianza
1:1
Jan 31, 2026 LPF
Alianza vs UMECIT
2:1
Nov 9, 2025 LPF
UMECIT vs Alianza
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza 28 / 100
UMECIT 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza UMECIT

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UMECIT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alianza's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

UMECIT has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Alianza has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alianza VS UMECIT
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alianza

(Home)
04 Oct
Herrera
1 : 0
Alianza
29 Sept
Alianza
2 : 0
Independiente
19 Sept
Alianza
0 : 0
Union Deportivo Universitario
13 Sept
Veraguas
2 : 1
Alianza
06 Sept
Alianza
1 : 1
San Francisco
Page 1 of 6

UMECIT

(Away)
03 Oct
San Francisco
0 : 1
UMECIT
26 Sept
Union Deportivo Universitario
2 : 1
UMECIT
22 Sept
UMECIT
1 : 0
Union Cocle
13 Sept
Herrera
1 : 3
UMECIT
08 Sept
UMECIT
2 : 0
Independiente
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plaza Amador 11 7 3 1 26:16 24
2 Arabe Unido 11 6 4 1 16:8 22
3 UMECIT 11 4 4 3 10:9 16
4 Tauro 11 4 2 5 16:13 14
5 Alianza 11 3 5 3 11:10 14
6 Sporting San Miguelito 11 3 4 4 12:13 13
Promotion - LPF (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - LPF (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Francisco 11 6 2 3 22:14 20
2 Veraguas 11 4 6 1 17:15 18
3 Independiente 11 2 5 4 15:17 11
4 Union Deportivo Universitario 11 2 5 4 10:12 11
5 Herrera 11 2 2 7 9:24 8
6 Union Cocle 11 1 2 8 8:21 5
Promotion - LPF (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - LPF (Apertura - Play Offs)