Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alianza vs Veraguas

Panama Panama

LPF Estadio Javier Cruz
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alianza play Veraguas in the LPF. It looks like a close match. Recently, Alianza averaged 1.71 goals scored and 1.35 conceded. Veraguas averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, Alianza won 3, Veraguas won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 17, 2026 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Alianza and 1.13 for Veraguas. This points to a Alianza double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Alianza
27%
Draws
27%
Veraguas
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Alianza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Alianza picked up more points recently compared to Veraguas.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
Alianza Clean Sheet 21%
Veraguas Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza Veraguas
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 11 7
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.71 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 LPF
Veraguas vs Alianza
2:3
May 10, 2026 LPF
Alianza vs Veraguas
0:0
Feb 22, 2026 LPF
Alianza vs Veraguas
5:3
Sep 6, 2025 LPF
Alianza vs Veraguas
1:0
Mar 8, 2025 LPF
Veraguas vs Alianza
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alianza Compare

Top Goalscorer Mathews R.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Mitre R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Veraguas Compare

Top Goalscorer Zuniga N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Emmons J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza 46 / 100
Veraguas 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza Veraguas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Alianza or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Alianza attacking → ← attacking Veraguas

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alianza scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Veraguas let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Alianza went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Veraguas lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

56 Points in last 5 37
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Plaza Amador1694328:1631
2Alianza1669126:2027
3UMECIT1667328:2025
4Tauro1656522:1921
5Arabe Unido1663716:2021
6Sporting San Miguelito1646619:2118
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Veraguas1674526:2325
2Union Cocle1658316:1123
3Independiente1648418:1420
4San Francisco1655622:2520
5Union Deportivo Universitario1635819:2714
6Herrera16151013:378