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Alianza vs Veraguas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Panama Panama

LPF Estadio Javier Cruz, Panama City
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Mathews R.
21' Event
Mathews R.
25'
Sub
Sagel J. In: Zuniga N.
Out: Sagel J.

AI Match Summary

The LPF game between Alianza and Veraguas finished 5-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alianza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Alianza
35%
Draws
40%
Veraguas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Veraguas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Alianza have managed 1.43 goals a game lately — Veraguas are scoring more at 1.55.
  • Alianza are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Alianza Clean Sheet 13%
Veraguas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza Veraguas
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 12 11
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.43 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 LPF
Veraguas vs Alianza
2:1
May 17, 2026 LPF
Veraguas vs Alianza
2:3
May 10, 2026 LPF
Alianza vs Veraguas
0:0
Feb 22, 2026 LPF
Alianza vs Veraguas
5:3
Sep 6, 2025 LPF
Alianza vs Veraguas
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alianza Compare

Top Goalscorer Mathews R.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Mitre R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Veraguas Compare

Top Goalscorer Zuniga N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Emmons J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza 40 / 100
Veraguas 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza Veraguas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Alianza's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Veraguas conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Alianza went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alianza VS Veraguas
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alianza

(Home)
04 Oct
Herrera
1 : 0
Alianza
29 Sept
Alianza
2 : 0
Independiente
19 Sept
Alianza
0 : 0
Union Deportivo Universitario
13 Sept
Veraguas
2 : 1
Alianza
06 Sept
Alianza
1 : 1
San Francisco
Page 1 of 6

Veraguas

(Away)
03 Oct
Veraguas
2 : 1
Tauro
27 Sept
Veraguas
1 : 1
Sporting San Miguelito
20 Sept
Plaza Amador
1 : 1
Veraguas
13 Sept
Veraguas
2 : 1
Alianza
05 Sept
Arabe Unido
3 : 1
Veraguas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plaza Amador 16 9 4 3 28:16 31
2 Alianza 16 6 9 1 26:20 27
3 UMECIT 16 6 7 3 28:20 25
4 Tauro 16 5 6 5 22:19 21
5 Arabe Unido 16 6 3 7 16:20 21
6 Sporting San Miguelito 16 4 6 6 19:21 18
Promotion - LPF (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - LPF (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Veraguas 16 7 4 5 26:23 25
2 Union Cocle 16 5 8 3 16:11 23
3 Independiente 16 4 8 4 18:14 20
4 San Francisco 16 5 5 6 22:25 20
5 Union Deportivo Universitario 16 3 5 8 19:27 14
6 Herrera 16 1 5 10 13:37 8
Promotion - LPF (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - LPF (Clausura - Play Offs)