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Alianza W vs Real Santander W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Liga Aguila Women 2017 Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata, Barrancabermeja
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alianza W in this Liga Aguila Women 2017 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alianza W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Alianza W
20%
Draws
80%
Real Santander W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real Santander W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Real Santander W haven't matched Alianza W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Real Santander W a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Alianza W Clean Sheet 10%
Real Santander W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza W Real Santander W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 3
Draws 4 12
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 1.07 0.48
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 2.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2025 Liga Women
Real Santander W vs Alianza W
3:2
Jun 2, 2024 Liga Women
Alianza W vs Real Santander W
3:2
May 4, 2017 Liga Women
Alianza W vs Real Santander W
3:2
Mar 19, 2017 Liga Women
Real Santander W vs Alianza W
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza W 26 / 100
Real Santander W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza W Real Santander W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Santander W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.25 goals per match.

Alianza W found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Real Santander W let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Real Santander W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alianza W VS Real Santander W
1.67 Goals Scored 0.75
3.33 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 38%
67% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alianza W

(Home)
21 Jun
Real Santander W
3 : 2
Alianza W
14 Jun
Alianza W
0 : 3
Millonarios W
10 Jun
Junior W
4 : 3
Alianza W
24 May
Alianza W
1 : 2
Inter Palmira W
17 May
Dep. Cali W
1 : 0
Alianza W
Page 1 of 6

Real Santander W

(Away)
09 Aug
Inter Bogotá W
2 : 0
Real Santander W
01 Aug
Real Santander W
0 : 1
Orsomarso W
26 Jul
Indep. Santa Fe W
0 : 1
Real Santander W
28 May
Real Santander W
0 : 0
Once Caldas W
23 May
Millonarios W
0 : 0
Real Santander W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Envigado W 10 10 0 0 36:3 30
2 Bucaramanga W 10 6 0 4 19:11 18
3 Cartagena W 10 5 1 4 14:12 16
4 Union Magdalena W 10 5 1 4 13:14 16
5 Alianza W 10 1 1 8 10:33 4
6 Real Santander W 10 1 1 8 7:26 4
Promotion - Liga Aguila Women 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indep. Santa Fe W 10 10 0 0 32:5 30
2 Cucuta W 10 6 0 4 22:16 18
3 Huila W 10 5 2 3 21:13 17
4 Patriotas W 10 2 3 5 11:20 9
5 Fortaleza W 10 2 1 7 8:23 7
6 Inter Bogotá W 10 2 0 8 6:23 6
Promotion - Liga Aguila Women 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Orsomarso W 10 8 1 1 22:4 25
2 Inter Palmira W 10 6 2 2 23:8 20
3 America de Cali W 10 5 4 1 24:9 19
4 Dep. Pasto W 10 2 1 7 6:26 7
5 Quindio W 10 2 1 7 8:19 7
6 Deportivo Pereira W 10 2 1 7 10:27 7
Promotion - Liga Aguila Women 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams