Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 6 2008/2009 Estadio José Rico Pérez

Castellon II

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Alicante II play Castellon II in the Tercera Division - Group 6 2008/2009. It looks like a close match. Recently, Alicante II averaged 0.44 goals scored and 1.56 conceded. Castellon II averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. In past meetings, Alicante II won 1, Castellon II won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 9, 2009 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.72 for Alicante II and 1.19 for Castellon II. This points to a Castellon II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%

Alicante II

18%

Draws

47%

Castellon II

Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Castellon II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Alicante II picked up more points recently compared to Castellon II.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.72 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 70%

Over 2.5 Goals 50%

Over 3.5 Goals 30%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%

Alicante II Clean Sheet 20%

Castellon II Clean Sheet 19%

First Half Goal 63%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Alicante II	Castellon II
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	6	8
Draws	5	6
Losses	21	16
Goals Scored	0.44	1.4
Goals Conceded	1.56	1.7

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 6

Alicante II vs Castellon II

Possession: 48% - 53% Cards: 0 - 1

3:1

Jan 4, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 6

Castellon II vs Alicante II

Possession: 56% - 40% Cards: 1 - 3

3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alicante II 36 / 100

Castellon II 46 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Alicante II Castellon II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Castellon II or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +29.5%

3.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.5%

2.27

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Alicante II attacking → ← attacking Castellon II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alicante II scored in 28% of their last 32 games.

Castellon II let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Alicante II went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Castellon II lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 30

0.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Villajoyosa	38	21	11	6	58:31	74
2	Alicante II	38	20	11	7	62:33	71
3	La Nucia	38	20	11	7	45:27	71
4	Torrevieja	38	19	11	8	52:29	68
5	Gandia	38	15	19	4	41:30	64
6	Eldense	38	19	7	12	44:32	64
7	Burjassot	38	15	17	6	50:38	62
8	Catarroja CF	38	18	5	15	43:37	59
9	Villarreal C	38	16	8	14	66:52	56
10	CD Onda	38	14	11	13	44:43	53
11	Novelda CF	38	14	9	15	45:33	51
12	Levante B	38	11	14	13	34:38	47
13	Jove	38	11	11	16	50:46	44
14	Ribarroja	38	10	13	15	38:49	43
15	UD Juventud Barrio del Cristo	38	10	11	17	42:59	41
16	Crevillente	38	9	12	17	40:51	39
17	UD Pucol	38	9	12	17	48:71	39
18	Castellon II	38	10	8	20	50:66	38
19	Pego CF	38	6	6	26	26:80	24
20	Utiel	38	5	9	24	31:64	24