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Alisontia Steinsel vs Differdange

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Differdange advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Alisontia Steinsel
15%
Draws
61%
Differdange
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Differdange

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Differdange come out ahead of Alisontia Steinsel on wins alone.
  • Model gives Differdange a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Differdange arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Differdange, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Alisontia Steinsel Clean Sheet 10%
Differdange Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alisontia Steinsel Differdange
Matches Played 23 41
Wins 9 30
Draws 0 6
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.83 2.73
Goals Conceded 1.78 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 10, 2024 Luxembourg Cup
Alisontia Steinsel vs Differdange
0:1
Feb 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Differdange vs Alisontia Steinsel
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alisontia Steinsel 10 / 100
Differdange 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alisontia Steinsel Differdange

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Differdange Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alisontia Steinsel scored in 70% of their last 23 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Differdange conceded in 46% of 41 recent games.

Alisontia Steinsel has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alisontia Steinsel VS Differdange
1 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alisontia Steinsel

(Home)
20 Sept
Alisontia Steinsel
1 : 2
Hostert
04 Mar
US Feulen
1 : 0
Alisontia Steinsel
09 Nov
FC Yellow Boys Weiler
1 : 2
Alisontia Steinsel
21 Sept
Mertzig
2 : 3
Alisontia Steinsel
10 Nov
Alisontia Steinsel
0 : 1
Differdange
Page 1 of 5

Differdange

(Away)
20 Sept
Jeunesse Useldange
1 : 5
Differdange
16 Sept
Differdange
3 : 0
Hesperange
12 Sept
Differdange
1 : 0
Ettelbruck
06 Sept
Differdange
4 : 1
Kaerjeng
30 Aug
Hostert
0 : 2
Differdange
Page 1 of 9

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Lintgen 1
Bissen 0
Echternach 3
Ettelbruck 2
The Belval Belvaux 5
US Sandweiler 0
Clemency 0
Mondorf 4
Oberkorn 0
Racing Luxembourg 1
Steinfort 0
Hesperange 3
Lorentzweiler 0
Victoria Rosport 2
US Moutfort/Medingen 1
Bettembourg 4
FC 47 Bastendorf 3
Luxembourg City 2
FC Orania Vianden 4
Berdenia Berbourg 3
Union Remich/Bous 3
Koeppchen 2
Syra Mensdorf 2
Dudelange 5
Jeunesse Junglinster 2
US Feulen 1
FC Schengen 1
Hostert 5
Union Tetange 2
Avenir Beggen 0
Blo Weiss Medernach 0
UNA Strassen 4
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 3
FC Mamer 1
Mertert/Wasserbillig 0
Schifflange 3
FC Ehlerange 1
Fola 3
Mertzig 2
Union Titus Petange 4
Pfaffenthal 1
Kaerjeng 2
Jeunesse Useldange 1
FC Marisca Mersch 3
Alliance Aischdall 2
Alisontia Steinsel 3
AS Colmar-Berg 0
Differdange 14
AS Luxembourg/Porto 1
Jeunesse Canach 2
Jeunesse Schieren 1
FC Rodange 91 3
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette 1
Mondercange 6
Izeg 0
Wiltz 4
Diekirch 1
FC Residence Walferdange 2
Sporting Bertrange 1
Jeunesse Esch 7
US Folschette 0
Rumelange 6
Red Boys Aspelt 0
Progres Niedercorn 8
1/16-finals
Lintgen 2
Echternach 1
The Belval Belvaux 1
Mondorf 0
Racing Luxembourg 2
Hesperange 0
Victoria Rosport 2
Bettembourg 0
FC 47 Bastendorf 3
FC Orania Vianden 1
Union Remich/Bous 2
Dudelange 3
Jeunesse Junglinster 2
Hostert 4
Union Tetange 0
UNA Strassen 8
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 1
Schifflange 0
Fola 1
Union Titus Petange 3
Kaerjeng 2
FC Marisca Mersch 1
Alisontia Steinsel 0
Differdange 1
Jeunesse Canach 2
FC Rodange 91 0
Mondercange 1
Wiltz 6
FC Residence Walferdange 0
Jeunesse Esch 1
Rumelange 1
Progres Niedercorn 3
1/8-finals
Lintgen 2
The Belval Belvaux 1
Racing Luxembourg 3
Victoria Rosport 1
FC 47 Bastendorf 1
Dudelange 4
Hostert 1
UNA Strassen 2
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 2
Union Titus Petange 7
Kaerjeng 0
Differdange 4
Jeunesse Canach 1
Wiltz 2
Jeunesse Esch 0
Progres Niedercorn 3
Quarter-finals
Lintgen 0
Racing Luxembourg 4
Dudelange 4
UNA Strassen 2
Union Titus Petange 0
Differdange 2
Wiltz 3
Progres Niedercorn 2
Semi-finals
Racing Luxembourg 2
Dudelange 3
Differdange 3
Wiltz 0
Final
Dudelange 2
Differdange 3