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Alisontia Steinsel vs Ettelbruck

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-1, with Alisontia Steinsel advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Alisontia Steinsel
15%
Draws
46%
Ettelbruck
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ettelbruck

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ettelbruck come out ahead of Alisontia Steinsel on wins alone.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Alisontia Steinsel taking it.
  • Ettelbruck arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Alisontia Steinsel, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Alisontia Steinsel Clean Sheet 10%
Ettelbruck Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alisontia Steinsel Ettelbruck
Matches Played 23 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 0 6
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.83 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.78 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2023 Luxembourg Cup
Alisontia Steinsel vs Ettelbruck
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alisontia Steinsel 47 / 100
Ettelbruck 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alisontia Steinsel Ettelbruck

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alisontia Steinsel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Alisontia Steinsel scored in 70% of their last 23 games.

Ettelbruck let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Alisontia Steinsel has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alisontia Steinsel VS Ettelbruck
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Alisontia Steinsel

(Home)
20 Sept
Alisontia Steinsel
1 : 2
Hostert
04 Mar
US Feulen
1 : 0
Alisontia Steinsel
09 Nov
FC Yellow Boys Weiler
1 : 2
Alisontia Steinsel
21 Sept
Mertzig
2 : 3
Alisontia Steinsel
10 Nov
Alisontia Steinsel
0 : 1
Differdange
Page 1 of 5

Ettelbruck

(Away)
20 Sept
FC Schengen
0 : 1
Ettelbruck
16 Sept
Victoria Rosport
1 : 1
Ettelbruck
12 Sept
Differdange
1 : 0
Ettelbruck
06 Sept
Hesperange
0 : 3
Ettelbruck
30 Aug
Ettelbruck
0 : 5
FC Residence Walferdange
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
FC Kopstal 33 0
Grevenmacher 2
Diekirch 0
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 4
US Sandweiler 1
Jeunesse Canach 2
Jeunesse Junglinster 0
Wiltz 4
FF Norden 1
Victoria Rosport 0
Oberkorn 1
Lorentzweiler 4
Olympia Christnach/Waldbillig 0
UNA Strassen 5
FC 47 Bastendorf 0
Fola 1
US Berdorf Consdorf 3
Rumelange 4
Blo Weiss Itzig 0
FC Marisca Mersch 4
Mertzig 1
FC Mamer 4
FC Schengen 1
Jeunesse Esch 5
Kehlen 2
FC Rodange 91 3
Steinfort 0
Bettembourg 1
Red Star Merl/Belair 3
Berdenia Berbourg 0
The Belval Belvaux 0
Hesperange 3
Lintgen 1
Hostert 3
Bissen 3
Union Titus Petange 5
ALSS Luxembourg 2
Avenir Beggen 1
CS Sanem 1
Racing Luxembourg 3
Union Remich/Bous 0
Schifflange 4
Jeunesse Schieren 0
Kaerjeng 5
Erpeldange 1
Blo Weiss Medernach 0
Gasperich 0
Mondorf 4
Racing Troisvierges 1
Alisontia Steinsel 7
FC Orania Vianden 0
Ettelbruck 2
Etoile Sportive Schouweiler 0
FC Residence Walferdange 3
Racing Heiderscheid/Eschdorf 0
Progres Niedercorn 11
FC Koerich/Simmern 1
Koeppchen 3
Jeunesse Useldange 1
Mondercange 3
US Feulen 0
Dudelange 4
Luxembourg City 1
Differdange 3
1/16-finals
Grevenmacher 2
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 4
Jeunesse Canach 4
Wiltz 3
FF Norden 1
Lorentzweiler 0
UNA Strassen 4
Fola 3
Rumelange 4
FC Marisca Mersch 0
FC Mamer 1
Jeunesse Esch 2
FC Rodange 91 3
Bettembourg 4
Red Star Merl/Belair 2
Hesperange 3
Hostert 2
Union Titus Petange 1
ALSS Luxembourg 0
Racing Luxembourg 3
Schifflange 3
Kaerjeng 2
Erpeldange 1
Mondorf 8
Alisontia Steinsel 5
Ettelbruck 1
FC Residence Walferdange 3
Progres Niedercorn 5
Koeppchen 2
Mondercange 5
Dudelange 0
Differdange 2
1/8-finals
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 3
Jeunesse Canach 2
FF Norden 1
UNA Strassen 2
Rumelange 0
Jeunesse Esch 5
Bettembourg 2
Hesperange 3
Hostert 1
Racing Luxembourg 0
Schifflange 1
Mondorf 2
Alisontia Steinsel 1
Progres Niedercorn 3
Mondercange 0
Differdange 3
Quarter-finals
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 0
UNA Strassen 2
Jeunesse Esch 0
Hesperange 2
Hostert 1
Mondorf 2
Progres Niedercorn 2
Differdange 0
Semi-finals
UNA Strassen 0
Hesperange 2
Mondorf 0
Progres Niedercorn 2
Final
Hesperange 1
Progres Niedercorn 2