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Aljustrelense vs GD Tourizense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aljustrelense in this Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A 2016/2017 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Aljustrelense
15%
Draws
59%
GD Tourizense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: GD Tourizense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to GD Tourizense lately — more wins on the board than Aljustrelense.
  • Model gives GD Tourizense a 59% chance of winning this.
  • GD Tourizense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Aljustrelense, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Aljustrelense Clean Sheet 18%
GD Tourizense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aljustrelense GD Tourizense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 0.67 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Aljustrelense vs GD Tourizense
1:0
May 28, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
GD Tourizense vs Aljustrelense
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aljustrelense 12 / 100
GD Tourizense 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aljustrelense GD Tourizense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GD Tourizense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GD Tourizense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Aljustrelense found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Aljustrelense stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aljustrelense VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aljustrelense

(Home)
27 Sept
Aljustrelense
0 : 2
GD Alcochetense
20 Sept
AD Limianos
3 : 0
Aljustrelense
13 Sept
Portel
1 : 1
Aljustrelense
30 Aug
Ferreiras
0 : 3
Aljustrelense
23 Aug
Sintrense
4 : 0
Aljustrelense
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GD Tourizense

(Away)
18 Jun
SC Mirandela
3 : 0
GD Tourizense
11 Jun
GD Tourizense
2 : 0
SC Mirandela
04 Jun
Aljustrelense
1 : 0
GD Tourizense
28 May
GD Tourizense
2 : 0
Aljustrelense
14 May
GD Tourizense
3 : 0
Cinfaes
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
GD Braganca 3
SC Angrense 2
Atletico CP 0
CD Gouveia 1
GD Tourizense 2
Aljustrelense 1
Carapinheirense 0
SC Mirandela 2
Final
GD Braganca 6
CD Gouveia 2
GD Tourizense 2
SC Mirandela 3