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Aljustrelense vs Vitoria Setubal

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Aljustrelense Logo

Aljustrelense

1 - 5
FT
Vitoria Setubal Logo

Vitoria Setubal

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group H game between Aljustrelense and Vitoria Setubal finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vitoria Setubal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Aljustrelense
30%
Draws
31%
Vitoria Setubal
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aljustrelense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Aljustrelense haven't matched Vitoria Setubal's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Aljustrelense a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group H form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 22.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Aljustrelense Clean Sheet 17%
Vitoria Setubal Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aljustrelense Vitoria Setubal
Matches Played 26 32
Wins 6 17
Draws 4 6
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 0.73 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.42
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Vitoria Setubal vs Aljustrelense
2:0
Jan 10, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Aljustrelense vs Vitoria Setubal
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aljustrelense 48 / 100
Vitoria Setubal 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aljustrelense Vitoria Setubal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aljustrelense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Aljustrelense scored in 62% of their last 26 outings.

Aljustrelense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Vitoria Setubal lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aljustrelense VS Vitoria Setubal
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.2 Goals Conceded 1.13
80% Over 1.5 75%
40% Over 2.5 63%
20% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aljustrelense

(Home)
13 Sept
Portel
1 : 1
Aljustrelense
30 Aug
Ferreiras
0 : 3
Aljustrelense
23 Aug
Sintrense
4 : 0
Aljustrelense
16 Aug
Aljustrelense
1 : 1
Lagoa
10 Apr
Vitoria Setubal
2 : 0
Aljustrelense
Page 1 of 6

Vitoria Setubal

(Away)
13 Sept
Vitoria Setubal
2 : 2
Juv. Evora
06 Sept
Lajense
0 : 1
Vitoria Setubal
23 Aug
Vitoria Setubal
1 : 3
Amora
16 Aug
Serpa
4 : 2
Vitoria Setubal
10 Jun
Vitoria Setubal
0 : 3
Amarante FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Setubal 20 15 5 0 49:20 50
2 Amora 20 13 5 2 34:13 44
3 Olhanense 20 10 5 5 27:17 35
4 Louletano 20 8 10 2 30:18 34
5 Moncarapachense 20 6 7 7 22:21 25
6 Pinhalnovense 20 7 4 9 26:30 25
7 Juv. Evora 20 6 6 8 27:36 24
8 Esperanca de Lagos 20 6 5 9 25:26 23
9 Lusitano GC 20 6 5 9 19:23 23
10 Aljustrelense 20 4 2 14 12:41 14
11 Moura AC 20 0 4 16 17:43 4
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)