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Alliance vs Cebra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2012/2013
Alliance Logo

Alliance

1 - 3
FT
Cebra Logo

Cebra

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Cebra advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Alliance
15%
Draws
26%
Cebra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alliance

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alliance come out ahead of Cebra on wins alone.
  • Model gives Alliance a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Alliance have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cebra, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 67%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Alliance Clean Sheet 20%
Cebra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alliance Cebra
Matches Played 29 14
Wins 12 5
Draws 5 0
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.59 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.97 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.26 1.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2012 Luxembourg Cup
Alliance vs Cebra
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alliance 85 / 100
Cebra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alliance Cebra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alliance Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Alliance scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Cebra let in goals in 79% of their last 14 matches.

Alliance has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alliance VS Cebra
2.14 Goals Scored 1
1.43 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
71% Over 2.5 75%
71% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Alliance

(Home)
28 Oct
Alliance
1 : 3
Cebra
28 May
Alliance
2 : 2
Grevenmacher
24 May
Union Luxembourg
2 : 0
Alliance
21 May
Alliance
4 : 0
Wiltz
07 May
Alliance
3 : 1
Union Luxembourg
Page 1 of 6

Cebra

(Away)
30 Oct
Cebra
1 : 6
UNA Strassen
01 Oct
Cebra
4 : 2
Jeunesse Junglinster
03 Oct
Cebra
2 : 3
Progres Niedercorn
17 Oct
Cebra
2 : 3
UNA Strassen
28 Oct
Cebra
0 : 2
Ettelbruck
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Jeunesse Esch -
TBD -
Jeunesse Junglinster 0
Rumelange 5
Hesperange 4
CS Sanem 0
TBD -
Fola -
Union Tetange -
TBD -
Alliance 1
Cebra 3
Esch 3
UNA Strassen 0
TBD -
Dudelange -
Progres Niedercorn -
TBD -
Miniere Lasauvage 1
Diekirch 2
Mondorf 2
The Belval Belvaux 1
TBD -
Racing Luxembourg -
Luxembourg City -
TBD -
FF Norden 0
US Berdorf Consdorf 6
Victoria Rosport 3
Luna Oberkorn 2
TBD -
Kaerjeng -
Grevenmacher -
TBD -
Pratzerthal/Redange 0
Oberkorn 4
US Feulen 3
Bettembourg 2
TBD -
Wiltz -
Erpeldange 5
FC Rodange 91 4
TBD -
Jeunesse Canach -
CS Petange -
TBD -
FC Brouch 1
Hostert 4
Bissen 3
Lintgen 2
FC Residence Walferdange 0
US Sandweiler 1
Sporting Bertrange 5
Mondercange 0
Schifflange 1
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 3
Ettelbruck -
TBD -
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 0
Mertert/Wasserbillig 2
FC Marisca Mersch 3
FC Mamer 1
TBD -
Differdange -
1/16-finals
Jeunesse Esch 3
Rumelange 1
Hesperange 1
Fola 2
Union Tetange 3
Cebra 0
Esch 1
Dudelange 4
Progres Niedercorn 3
Diekirch 0
Mondorf 0
Racing Luxembourg 2
Luxembourg City 7
US Berdorf Consdorf 0
Victoria Rosport 2
Kaerjeng 3
Grevenmacher 2
Oberkorn 0
US Feulen 0
Wiltz 4
Erpeldange 3
Jeunesse Canach 2
CS Petange 3
Hostert 4
Bissen 1
US Sandweiler 0
Sporting Bertrange 3
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 4
Ettelbruck 2
Mertert/Wasserbillig 0
FC Marisca Mersch 0
Differdange 3
1/8-finals
Jeunesse Esch 2
Fola 1
Union Tetange 1
Dudelange 4
Progres Niedercorn 2
Racing Luxembourg 1
Luxembourg City 0
Kaerjeng 1
Grevenmacher 4
Wiltz 2
Erpeldange 1
Hostert 4
Bissen 3
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 2
Ettelbruck 0
Differdange 7
Quarter-finals
Jeunesse Esch 1
Dudelange 0
Progres Niedercorn 0
Kaerjeng 1
Grevenmacher 2
Hostert 1
Bissen 0
Differdange 2
Semi-finals
Jeunesse Esch 2
Kaerjeng 0
Grevenmacher 0
Differdange 1
Final
Jeunesse Esch 2
Differdange 1