Sport Picks
Match Events
1'
1'
Joseph H.
Own Goal
10'
10'
Kihimbwa S.
AI Match Summary
The Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 game between Alliance and Mtibwa Sugar finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
20%
0%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alliance
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Alliance carry the better recent record into this one.
- 80% — that's where the model lands on Alliance taking it.
- Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Alliance Clean Sheet 68%
Mtibwa Sugar Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alliance | Mtibwa Sugar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 9 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 14 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 0.81 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 5, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Alliance vs Mtibwa Sugar
1:1
Dec 30, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mtibwa Sugar vs Alliance
0:1
Apr 6, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mtibwa Sugar vs Alliance
1:0
Nov 7, 2018 Ligi Kuu Bara
Alliance vs Mtibwa Sugar
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alliance Compare
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71
Mtibwa Sugar Compare
Top Goalscorer Kihimbwa S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alliance 95 / 100
Mtibwa Sugar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alliance Mtibwa Sugar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Alliance Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mtibwa Sugar let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.
Mtibwa Sugar's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
Alliance found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).
Alliance went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Mtibwa Sugar
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Alliance
(Home) 26 Jul
Alliance
3 : 2 Namungo
23 Jul
Alliance
2 : 2 Ndanda
19 Jul
Simba
5 : 1 Alliance
15 Jul
JKT Tanzania
1 : 1 Alliance
09 Jul
Alliance
2 : 0 Lipuli
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Alliance
3 : 2 Namungo
23 Jul
Alliance
2 : 2 Ndanda
09 Jul
Alliance
2 : 0 Lipuli
05 Jul
Alliance
1 : 1 Mtibwa Sugar
27 Jun
Alliance
1 : 0 Coastal Union
Page 1 of 3
Mtibwa Sugar
(Away) 30 Jun
Namungo
2 : 1 Mtibwa Sugar
27 Jun
Tanzania Prisons
2 : 1 Mtibwa Sugar
24 Jun
Mtibwa Sugar
0 : 3 Simba
18 Jun
Pamba
4 : 0 Mtibwa Sugar
13 Jun
Mbeya City
1 : 0 Mtibwa Sugar
Page 1 of 7
30 Jun
Namungo
2 : 1 Mtibwa Sugar
27 Jun
Tanzania Prisons
2 : 1 Mtibwa Sugar
18 Jun
Pamba
4 : 0 Mtibwa Sugar
13 Jun
Mbeya City
1 : 0 Mtibwa Sugar
20 May
TRA United
2 : 1 Mtibwa Sugar
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 38 | 27 | 7 | 4 | 78:21 | 88 |
| 2 | Young Africans | 38 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 45:28 | 72 |
| 3 | Azam | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 52:26 | 70 |
| 4 | Namungo | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 46:37 | 64 |
| 5 | Polisi Tanzania | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 37:35 | 55 |
| 6 | JKT Tanzania | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 34:32 | 54 |
| 7 | Coastal Union | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 33:30 | 53 |
| 8 | Kagera Sugar | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 44:41 | 52 |
| 9 | Biashara Mara United | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 29:27 | 50 |
| 10 | Tanzania Prisons | 38 | 10 | 19 | 9 | 35:30 | 49 |
| 11 | Mwadui | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 39:45 | 47 |
| 12 | Ruvu Shooting | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 34:42 | 47 |
| 13 | Kinondoni MC | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 35:47 | 46 |
| 14 | Mtibwa Sugar | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 30:34 | 45 |
| 15 | Mbeya City | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 33:42 | 45 |
| 16 | Mbao | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 33:43 | 45 |
| 17 | Alliance | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 36:48 | 45 |
| 18 | Lipuli | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 43:51 | 44 |
| 19 | Ndanda | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 28:35 | 41 |
| 20 | Singida United | 38 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 23:73 | 18 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 (Relegation)
