Sport Picks
Match Events
9'
9'
Patrick I.
16'
16'
Hamis A.
51'
51'
Mponda O.
AI Match Summary
The Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 game between Alliance and Ndanda finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
35%
25%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alliance
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Alliance carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Alliance Clean Sheet 68%
Ndanda Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alliance | Ndanda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 14 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 0.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 23, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Alliance vs Ndanda
2:2
Feb 1, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Ndanda vs Alliance
1:0
Feb 15, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Ndanda vs Alliance
1:0
Oct 2, 2018 Ligi Kuu Bara
Alliance vs Ndanda
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alliance Compare
Top Goalscorer Patrick I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kiggi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Ndanda Compare
Top Goalscorer Hamis A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mponda O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alliance 41 / 100
Ndanda 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alliance Ndanda
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Alliance Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Alliance found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).
These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Alliance remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Ndanda has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Alliance VS Ndanda
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Alliance
(Home) 26 Jul
Alliance
3 : 2 Namungo
23 Jul
Alliance
2 : 2 Ndanda
19 Jul
Simba
5 : 1 Alliance
15 Jul
JKT Tanzania
1 : 1 Alliance
09 Jul
Alliance
2 : 0 Lipuli
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Alliance
3 : 2 Namungo
23 Jul
Alliance
2 : 2 Ndanda
09 Jul
Alliance
2 : 0 Lipuli
05 Jul
Alliance
1 : 1 Mtibwa Sugar
27 Jun
Alliance
1 : 0 Coastal Union
Page 1 of 3
Ndanda
(Away) 26 Jul
Mbao
2 : 0 Ndanda
23 Jul
Alliance
2 : 2 Ndanda
18 Jul
Ndanda
0 : 1 Mbeya City
15 Jul
Ndanda
2 : 1 Tanzania Prisons
08 Jul
Ndanda
0 : 0 JKT Tanzania
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Mbao
2 : 0 Ndanda
23 Jul
Alliance
2 : 2 Ndanda
27 Jun
Young Africans
3 : 2 Ndanda
23 Jun
Ruvu Shooting
0 : 0 Ndanda
14 Mar
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 0 Ndanda
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 38 | 27 | 7 | 4 | 78:21 | 88 |
| 2 | Young Africans | 38 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 45:28 | 72 |
| 3 | Azam | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 52:26 | 70 |
| 4 | Namungo | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 46:37 | 64 |
| 5 | Polisi Tanzania | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 37:35 | 55 |
| 6 | JKT Tanzania | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 34:32 | 54 |
| 7 | Coastal Union | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 33:30 | 53 |
| 8 | Kagera Sugar | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 44:41 | 52 |
| 9 | Biashara Mara United | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 29:27 | 50 |
| 10 | Tanzania Prisons | 38 | 10 | 19 | 9 | 35:30 | 49 |
| 11 | Mwadui | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 39:45 | 47 |
| 12 | Ruvu Shooting | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 34:42 | 47 |
| 13 | Kinondoni MC | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 35:47 | 46 |
| 14 | Mtibwa Sugar | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 30:34 | 45 |
| 15 | Mbeya City | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 33:42 | 45 |
| 16 | Mbao | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 33:43 | 45 |
| 17 | Alliance | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 36:48 | 45 |
| 18 | Lipuli | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 43:51 | 44 |
| 19 | Ndanda | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 28:35 | 41 |
| 20 | Singida United | 38 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 23:73 | 18 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 (Relegation)
