Sport Picks

Scotland

League Cup Recreation Park

Alloa

Sat, Jul 18, 2026

3 - 2

02:00 PM

Stranraer

Our Tip

Match Events

39'

Gillie L.

Assist: Traynor A.

44'

Coll B.

46'

Sub

McCafferty F. In: Gallagher C.

Out: McCafferty F.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The League Cup game between Alloa and Stranraer finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alloa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Alloa

30%

Draws

34%

Stranraer

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alloa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Alloa carry the better recent record into this one.
Alloa are the model's pick here, at 36%.
Cup games in League Cup usually bring a different intensity than the league.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%

Alloa Clean Sheet 17%

Stranraer Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Alloa	Stranraer
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	12	10
Draws	4	10
Losses	12	9
Goals Scored	1.38	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.5	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 League Cup

Alloa vs Stranraer

Possession: 42% - 51% Cards: 0 - 4

3:2

Aug 12, 2025 Challenge Cup

Stranraer vs Alloa

Possession: 41% - 42% Cards: 4 - 2

2:1

Sep 22, 2020 Club Friendly

Alloa vs Stranraer

Possession: 58% - 49% Cards: 2 - 3

3:1

Apr 7, 2018 League One

Alloa vs Stranraer

Possession: 55% - 55% Cards: 3 - 3

0:1

Feb 24, 2018 League One

Stranraer vs Alloa

Possession: 56% - 50% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alloa Compare

Top Goalscorer Rankin L.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Stranraer Compare

Top Goalscorer Gillie L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Quigg A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alloa 36 / 100

Stranraer 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Alloa Stranraer

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alloa's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Stranraer's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Alloa has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alloa VS Stranraer

1.38 Goals Scored 1.25

1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88

63% Over 1.5 50%

63% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Queen's Park	2	2	0	5:1	6
2	Aberdeen	1	1	0	2:0	3
3	Kelty Hearts	2	1	1	1:3	2
4	Queen of the South	1	0	1	1:1	1
5	Brora Rangers	2	0	2	1:5	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Stirling	2	1	1	3:2	3
2	Arbroath	1	1	0	2:1	3
3	Montrose	1	1	0	1:0	3
4	Dundee Utd	2	1	1	1:1	3
5	Spartans	2	0	2	2:5	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	St. Mirren	1	1	0	4:0	3
2	East Kilbride	2	1	1	5:3	3
3	Cove Rangers	1	1	0	3:2	3
4	Dunfermline	2	1	1	4:4	3
5	Dumbarton	2	0	2	1:8	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Dundee FC	2	2	0	9:2	6
2	Ross County	1	1	0	4:1	3
3	Clyde	1	1	0	1:0	3
4	Airdrieonians	2	0	2	2:5	0
5	Annan	2	0	2	1:9	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Partick	2	2	0	10:0	6
2	Livingston	1	1	0	2:0	3
3	Stenhousemuir	1	1	0	2:0	3
4	Forfar Athletic	2	0	2	0:6	0
5	Brechin	2	0	2	0:8	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	East Fife	2	1	1	3:1	4
2	St Johnstone	1	1	0	2:0	3
3	Linlithgow Rose	2	1	1	1:2	3
4	Inverness	1	1	0	1:1	2
5	Morton	2	0	2	0:3	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Ayr	2	2	0	4:2	6
2	Falkirk	2	1	1	5:1	3
3	Edinburgh City	2	1	1	2:5	3
4	Stranraer	1	0	1	2:3	0
5	Alloa	1	0	1	0:2	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Raith	2	1	1	3:1	4
2	Peterhead	2	1	1	3:2	3
3	Hamilton	1	1	0	1:0	3
4	Kilmarnock	1	1	0	0:0	2
5	Elgin City	2	0	2	2:6	0