Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alloa vs Airdrieonians

Scotland Scotland

Championship 2025/2026 Recreation Park, Alloa
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Taggart S.
(Penalty)
55'
Sub
Thomas D. In: Gallagher G.
Out: Thomas D.
55'
Sub
McGrattan L. In: Mahon R.
Out: McGrattan L.

AI Match Summary

Alloa in this Championship 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Alloa
20%
Draws
60%
Airdrieonians
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Airdrieonians

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Alloa have won more games recently than Airdrieonians.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Airdrieonians taking it.
  • Alloa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Airdrieonians, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Alloa Clean Sheet 25%
Airdrieonians Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alloa Airdrieonians
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.41 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 League One
Airdrieonians vs Alloa
1:0
May 9, 2026 Championship
Airdrieonians vs Alloa
1:2
May 5, 2026 Championship
Alloa vs Airdrieonians
1:0
Dec 9, 2025 Challenge Cup
Alloa vs Airdrieonians
2:3
Jul 26, 2025 League Cup
Airdrieonians vs Alloa
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alloa 10 / 100
Airdrieonians 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alloa Airdrieonians

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Airdrieonians Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alloa's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Airdrieonians let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Alloa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alloa VS Airdrieonians
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alloa

(Home)
26 Sept
Alloa
2 : 2
Gala Fairydean Rovers
22 Sept
Alloa
4 : 1
Hibernian B
19 Sept
Alloa
1 : 2
East Kilbride
12 Sept
Airdrieonians
1 : 0
Alloa
08 Sept
Clydebank FC
1 : 1
Alloa
Page 1 of 6

Airdrieonians

(Away)
26 Sept
Airdrieonians
7 : 1
Berwick
22 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
1 : 6
Airdrieonians
19 Sept
Peterhead
1 : 2
Airdrieonians
12 Sept
Airdrieonians
1 : 0
Alloa
08 Sept
Airdrieonians
1 : 0
St. Mirren B
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Airdrieonians 1
Alloa 3
Stenhousemuir 4
Queen of the South 3
Final
Alloa 2
Stenhousemuir 3