Sport Picks

Scotland

Championship 2025/2026 Recreation Park

Airdrieonians

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Alloa play Airdrieonians in the Championship 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Alloa averaged 1.62 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. Airdrieonians averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. In past meetings, Alloa won 3, Airdrieonians won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 9, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Alloa and 1.13 for Airdrieonians. This points to a Alloa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Alloa

15%

Draws

34%

Airdrieonians

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alloa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Alloa picked up more points recently compared to Airdrieonians.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 59%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%

Alloa Clean Sheet 21%

Airdrieonians Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Alloa	Airdrieonians
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	13	8
Draws	4	8
Losses	12	13
Goals Scored	1.62	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.34	1.52
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Championship

Airdrieonians vs Alloa

Possession: 43% - 46% Cards: 1 - 4

1:2

May 5, 2026 Championship

Alloa vs Airdrieonians

Possession: 58% - 43% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Dec 9, 2025 Challenge Cup

Alloa vs Airdrieonians

Possession: 52% - 43% Cards: 1 - 1

2:3

Jul 26, 2025 League Cup

Airdrieonians vs Alloa

Possession: 40% - 54% Cards: 2 - 1

2:3

Apr 1, 2023 League One

Alloa vs Airdrieonians

Possession: 47% - 58% Cards: 0 - 3

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alloa 50 / 100

Airdrieonians 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Alloa Airdrieonians

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Alloa or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +18.8%

2.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.5%

1.89

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Alloa attacking → ← attacking Airdrieonians

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alloa scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Airdrieonians let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Alloa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Airdrieonians lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 32

1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50