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Alloa vs East Kilbride - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

League One Recreation Park, Alloa
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Armstrong R.
29'
Sub
Devine D. In: McGrath J.
Out: Devine D.
34' Event
McGuffie C.
Assist: Culbert S.

AI Match Summary

East Kilbride in this League One matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored East Kilbride.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Alloa
20%
Draws
57%
East Kilbride
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: East Kilbride

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • East Kilbride have won more games recently than Alloa.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Alloa Clean Sheet 10%
East Kilbride Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alloa East Kilbride
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 13 16
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.43 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 League One
Alloa vs East Kilbride
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alloa Compare

Top Goalscorer Glasgow K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

East Kilbride Compare

Top Goalscorer McGuffie C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McKenzie C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alloa 30 / 100
East Kilbride 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alloa East Kilbride

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick East Kilbride Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alloa found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: East Kilbride conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Alloa has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alloa VS East Kilbride
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Alloa

(Home)
03 Oct
Ross County
4 : 1
Alloa
26 Sept
Alloa
2 : 2
Gala Fairydean Rovers
22 Sept
Alloa
4 : 1
Hibernian B
19 Sept
Alloa
1 : 2
East Kilbride
12 Sept
Airdrieonians
1 : 0
Alloa
Page 1 of 6

East Kilbride

(Away)
03 Oct
East Fife
0 : 3
East Kilbride
26 Sept
Stranraer
4 : 3
East Kilbride
22 Sept
East Kilbride
3 : 3
Celtic B
19 Sept
Alloa
1 : 2
East Kilbride
12 Sept
East Kilbride
3 : 1
Peterhead
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ross County 8 7 1 0 26:5 22
2 Hamilton 8 7 1 0 18:2 22
3 East Kilbride 9 5 1 3 17:12 16
4 Montrose 9 5 0 4 13:14 15
5 Airdrieonians 9 3 3 3 7:11 12
6 Alloa 9 2 3 4 9:10 9
7 East Fife 9 1 5 3 7:10 8
8 Peterhead 9 2 1 6 7:16 7
9 Queen of the South 9 2 1 6 10:27 7
10 Cove Rangers 9 1 2 6 8:15 5
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)