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Alloa vs Hamilton

Scotland Scotland

League One Recreation Park, Alloa
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alloa host Hamilton in the League One. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Alloa have averaged 1.29 scored and 1.18 conceded recently, against Hamilton's 2.04 scored and 0.93 conceded. Past meetings favor Hamilton slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 8, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.31, favoring Hamilton. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Alloa
30%
Draws
56%
Hamilton
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hamilton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hamilton come out ahead of Alloa on wins alone.
  • Model gives Hamilton a 56% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Alloa Clean Sheet 18%
Hamilton Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alloa Hamilton
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 12 17
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.29 2.04
Goals Conceded 1.18 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 League One
Hamilton vs Alloa
1:0
Apr 11, 2026 League One
Hamilton vs Alloa
1:0
Feb 21, 2026 League One
Alloa vs Hamilton
3:0
Dec 20, 2025 League One
Hamilton vs Alloa
1:0
Aug 23, 2025 League One
Alloa vs Hamilton
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alloa 10 / 100
Hamilton 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alloa Hamilton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hamilton Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alloa found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Solid form: Alloa remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Hamilton conceded in 56% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Alloa VS Hamilton
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Alloa

(Home)
19 Sept
Alloa
1 : 2
East Kilbride
12 Sept
Airdrieonians
1 : 0
Alloa
08 Sept
Clydebank FC
1 : 1
Alloa
05 Sept
Cove Rangers
1 : 1
Alloa
29 Aug
Alloa
1 : 1
Peterhead
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Hamilton

(Away)
19 Sept
Hamilton
4 : 1
Queen of the South
08 Sept
Spartans
0 : 4
Hamilton
05 Sept
East Kilbride
0 : 1
Hamilton
29 Aug
Hamilton
1 : 0
Cove Rangers
25 Aug
Hamilton
0 : 1
Edinburgh City
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ross County 7 6 1 0 22:4 19
2 Hamilton 7 6 1 0 16:1 19
3 Montrose 8 5 0 3 13:13 15
4 East Kilbride 8 4 1 3 14:12 13
5 Alloa 8 2 3 3 8:6 9
6 Airdrieonians 8 2 3 3 6:11 9
7 East Fife 8 1 5 2 7:7 8
8 Peterhead 8 2 1 5 6:14 7
9 Cove Rangers 8 1 2 5 5:11 5
10 Queen of the South 8 1 1 6 6:24 4
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)