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Alloa vs Kilmarnock B

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup 2025/2026 Recreation Park
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Rankin L.
Assist: Scougall S.
61' Event
Rankin L.
Penalty Missed
63' Event
Rankin L.

AI Match Summary

The Challenge Cup 2025/2026 game between Alloa and Kilmarnock B finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alloa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Alloa
6%
Draws
4%
Kilmarnock B
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Alloa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alloa come out ahead of Kilmarnock B on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Alloa's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Cup games in Challenge Cup 2025/2026 usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Alloa Clean Sheet 18%
Kilmarnock B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alloa Kilmarnock B
Matches Played 28 12
Wins 12 3
Draws 4 0
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2025 Challenge Cup
Alloa vs Kilmarnock B
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alloa Compare

Top Goalscorer Rankin L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sammon C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Kilmarnock B Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alloa 85 / 100
Kilmarnock B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alloa Kilmarnock B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kilmarnock B let in goals in 92% of their last 12 matches.

Away concern: Kilmarnock B has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Alloa's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Alloa VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inverness660026:418
2Stenhousemuir660018:218
3Montrose651018:916
4East Fife641117:913
5Stranraer641112:613
6East Kilbride640213:1112
7Forfar Athletic640210:812
8Edinburgh City640211:1012
9Spartans632114:811
10Elgin City632111:911
11Dumbarton632110:811
12Annan631215:1010
13Alloa631217:1410
14Kelty Hearts63129:610
15Clyde631214:1210
16Queen of the South631212:1010
17Hamilton631213:89
18Stirling63039:99
19Cove Rangers62229:68
20Peterhead622210:108
21Celtic B620412:156
22Hearts B62049:146
23Hibernian B612311:145
24St. Mirren B61149:154
25Dundee Utd B61055:183
26Aberdeen B60159:201
27Motherwell B60152:171
28Rangers B60066:160
29Kilmarnock B60063:190
30Dundee FC B60064:210