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Alloa vs Livingston

World World

Club Friendly 2025 Recreation Park
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Muirhead R.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Sammon C.
54' Event
McAlear R.

AI Match Summary

Livingston in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Livingston.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Alloa
22%
Draws
60%
Livingston
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Livingston

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Livingston haven't matched Alloa's recent run of results.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Livingston taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Livingston have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Alloa Clean Sheet 15%
Livingston Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alloa Livingston
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 5
Draws 4 10
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2026 Club Friendly
Alloa vs Livingston
0:3
Jun 28, 2025 Club Friendly
Alloa vs Livingston
1:3
Jun 22, 2024 Club Friendly
Livingston vs Alloa
2:1
Jul 4, 2023 Club Friendly
Livingston vs Alloa
2:0
Jul 17, 2021 League Cup
Alloa vs Livingston
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alloa Compare

Top Goalscorer Sammon C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Livingston Compare

Top Goalscorer McAlear R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader May S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alloa 19 / 100
Livingston 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alloa Livingston

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alloa's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Livingston let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Alloa has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alloa VS Livingston
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%