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Alloa vs Peterhead

Scotland Scotland

League One Recreation Park, Alloa
Sat, Aug 29, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alloa host Peterhead in the League One. Little to choose between these two on current form. Peterhead have shipped 1.21 goals a game lately, while Alloa have conceded 1.45 and scored 1.52. Past meetings favor Peterhead slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 28, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.38) point toward Alloa. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Alloa
15%
Draws
54%
Peterhead
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Peterhead

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Peterhead haven't matched Alloa's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Peterhead's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Alloa Clean Sheet 17%
Peterhead Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alloa Peterhead
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 13
Draws 3 5
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.52 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 League One
Alloa vs Peterhead
1:2
Mar 10, 2026 League One
Peterhead vs Alloa
3:1
Dec 6, 2025 League One
Alloa vs Peterhead
4:0
Sep 27, 2025 League One
Peterhead vs Alloa
2:1
Mar 25, 2023 League One
Peterhead vs Alloa
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alloa 23 / 100
Peterhead 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alloa Peterhead

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Peterhead Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Peterhead's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Alloa scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Alloa remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alloa VS Peterhead
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alloa

(Home)
15 Aug
Alloa
3 : 0
Montrose
11 Aug
Alloa
2 : 1
Stranraer
08 Aug
Hamilton
1 : 0
Alloa
01 Aug
Alloa
0 : 0
East Fife
25 Jul
Ayr
4 : 1
Alloa
Page 1 of 6

Peterhead

(Away)
15 Aug
Peterhead
2 : 1
East Fife
11 Aug
Banks O' Dee
1 : 5
Peterhead
08 Aug
Queen of the South
0 : 1
Peterhead
01 Aug
Peterhead
0 : 1
Ross County
25 Jul
Peterhead
1 : 0
Kilmarnock
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hamilton 3 3 0 0 10:0 9
2 East Kilbride 3 2 1 0 9:2 7
3 Ross County 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
4 Peterhead 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
5 Alloa 3 1 1 1 3:1 4
6 East Fife 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
7 Airdrieonians 3 0 2 1 1:5 2
8 Cove Rangers 3 0 1 2 0:5 1
9 Queen of the South 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
10 Montrose 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)