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Alloa vs Peterhead - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

League One Recreation Park, Alloa
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Davies-Browne T.
38'
Marchant G.
45' Event
Marchant G.
Assist: Foster O.

AI Match Summary

The League One game between Alloa and Peterhead finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Alloa
15%
Draws
36%
Peterhead
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alloa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Peterhead have managed 1.39 goals a game lately — Alloa are scoring more at 1.43.
  • Win probability leans Alloa's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Alloa Clean Sheet 17%
Peterhead Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alloa Peterhead
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 13
Draws 5 2
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.43 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 League One
Alloa vs Peterhead
1:1
Mar 28, 2026 League One
Alloa vs Peterhead
1:2
Mar 10, 2026 League One
Peterhead vs Alloa
3:1
Dec 6, 2025 League One
Alloa vs Peterhead
4:0
Sep 27, 2025 League One
Peterhead vs Alloa
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alloa Compare

Top Goalscorer Marchant G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Peterhead Compare

Top Goalscorer Ross S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alloa 41 / 100
Peterhead 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alloa Peterhead

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Peterhead's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Alloa scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Away concern: Peterhead has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alloa VS Peterhead
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alloa

(Home)
03 Oct
Ross County
4 : 1
Alloa
26 Sept
Alloa
2 : 2
Gala Fairydean Rovers
22 Sept
Alloa
4 : 1
Hibernian B
19 Sept
Alloa
1 : 2
East Kilbride
12 Sept
Airdrieonians
1 : 0
Alloa
Page 1 of 6

Peterhead

(Away)
03 Oct
Hamilton
2 : 1
Peterhead
26 Sept
Peterhead
0 : 1
Elgin City
22 Sept
Forfar Athletic
0 : 2
Peterhead
19 Sept
Peterhead
1 : 2
Airdrieonians
12 Sept
East Kilbride
3 : 1
Peterhead
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ross County 8 7 1 0 26:5 22
2 Hamilton 8 7 1 0 18:2 22
3 East Kilbride 9 5 1 3 17:12 16
4 Montrose 9 5 0 4 13:14 15
5 Airdrieonians 9 3 3 3 7:11 12
6 Alloa 9 2 3 4 9:10 9
7 East Fife 9 1 5 3 7:10 8
8 Peterhead 9 2 1 6 7:16 7
9 Queen of the South 9 2 1 6 10:27 7
10 Cove Rangers 9 1 2 6 8:15 5
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)