Sport Picks

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Alloa vs Queen of the South

Scotland Scotland

League One Recreation Park, Alloa
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alloa host Queen of the South in the League One. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Queen of the South have shipped 1.83 goals a game lately, while Alloa have conceded 1.29 and scored 1.52. Past meetings favor Queen of the South slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 22, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 2.00 vs 0.88, favoring Alloa. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Alloa
35%
Draws
32%
Queen of the South
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alloa come out ahead of Queen of the South on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Alloa's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Alloa Clean Sheet 20%
Queen of the South Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alloa Queen of the South
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 5 9
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.52 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 League One
Queen of the South vs Alloa
0:2
May 2, 2026 League One
Alloa vs Queen of the South
1:4
Feb 14, 2026 League One
Queen of the South vs Alloa
1:2
Dec 13, 2025 League One
Alloa vs Queen of the South
0:2
Oct 4, 2025 League One
Queen of the South vs Alloa
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alloa 85 / 100
Queen of the South 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alloa Queen of the South

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alloa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Queen of the South conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Alloa found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Alloa remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alloa VS Queen of the South
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alloa

(Home)
26 Sept
Alloa
2 : 2
Gala Fairydean Rovers
22 Sept
Alloa
4 : 1
Hibernian B
19 Sept
Alloa
1 : 2
East Kilbride
12 Sept
Airdrieonians
1 : 0
Alloa
08 Sept
Clydebank FC
1 : 1
Alloa
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Queen of the South

(Away)
26 Sept
Queen of the South
4 : 2
Rangers B
22 Sept
Queen of the South
1 : 1
Annan
19 Sept
Hamilton
4 : 1
Queen of the South
15 Sept
Ross County
8 : 0
Queen of the South
12 Sept
Queen of the South
1 : 1
East Fife
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ross County 7 6 1 0 22:4 19
2 Hamilton 7 6 1 0 16:1 19
3 Montrose 8 5 0 3 13:13 15
4 East Kilbride 8 4 1 3 14:12 13
5 Alloa 8 2 3 3 8:6 9
6 Airdrieonians 8 2 3 3 6:11 9
7 East Fife 8 1 5 2 7:7 8
8 Peterhead 8 2 1 5 6:14 7
9 Cove Rangers 8 1 2 5 5:11 5
10 Queen of the South 8 1 1 6 6:24 4
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)