Sport Picks

Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Tres de Febrero

Agropecuario

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Almagro play Agropecuario in the Primera Nacional. It looks like a close match. Recently, Almagro averaged 0.76 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Agropecuario averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Almagro won 1, Agropecuario won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Jun 13, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Almagro and 0.88 for Agropecuario. This points to a Agropecuario double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%

Almagro

35%

Draws

36%

Agropecuario

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Agropecuario

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Almagro picked up more points recently compared to Agropecuario.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 0.88 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 65%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 15%

Over 4.5 Goals 8%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%

Almagro Clean Sheet 25%

Agropecuario Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 59%

Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Almagro	Agropecuario
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	7	11
Draws	9	7
Losses	13	11
Goals Scored	0.76	1.03
Goals Conceded	1.03	1.03
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Primera Nacional

Almagro vs Agropecuario

Possession: 58% - 57% Cards: 0 - 3

2:1

Aug 20, 2023 Primera Nacional

Agropecuario vs Almagro

Possession: 43% - 44% Cards: 0 - 3

1:1

Apr 8, 2023 Primera Nacional

Almagro vs Agropecuario

Possession: 56% - 60% Cards: 3 - 2

0:1

Mar 5, 2022 Primera Nacional

Agropecuario vs Almagro

Possession: 54% - 40% Cards: 3 - 0

2:2

Mar 1, 2019 Primera Nacional

Almagro vs Agropecuario

Possession: 48% - 60% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Almagro Compare

Top Goalscorer Orlando J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Agropecuario Compare

Top Goalscorer Blando B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almagro 31 / 100

Agropecuario 35 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Almagro Agropecuario

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Agropecuario or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +38%

4.76

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +31.5%

5.26

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Almagro attacking → ← attacking Agropecuario

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Almagro scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

Agropecuario let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Almagro went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Agropecuario lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate

Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 40

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Deportivo Moron	18	10	4	4	26:15	34
2	Ferro	18	10	4	4	20:13	34
3	Los Andes	18	7	8	3	16:6	29
4	Colon Santa Fe	18	7	8	3	21:14	29
5	Deportivo Madryn	18	7	7	4	24:18	28
6	Ciudad Bolivar	18	6	9	3	15:12	27
7	Almirante Brown	18	7	5	6	13:12	26
8	CA Estudiantes	18	7	5	6	14:15	26
9	Godoy Cruz	18	6	7	5	18:14	25
10	San Miguel	18	5	9	4	16:19	24
11	San Telmo	18	4	8	6	14:16	20
12	Defensores de Belgrano	18	4	8	6	12:16	20
13	Racing Cordoba	18	5	5	8	16:21	20
14	All Boys	18	4	7	7	11:18	19
15	Central Norte	18	4	6	8	11:16	18
16	Acassuso	18	5	3	10	12:19	18
17	CA Mitre	18	3	8	7	18:23	17
18	Chaco For Ever	18	2	6	10	13:24	12

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gimnasia Jujuy	18	11	3	4	30:20	36
2	Atletico Atlanta	18	10	3	5	23:13	33
3	Tristan Suarez	18	7	9	2	16:10	30
4	Atl. Rafaela	18	7	6	5	14:12	27
5	Temperley	18	6	9	3	18:17	27
6	Midland	18	7	5	6	19:14	26
7	San Martin S.J.	17	6	5	6	18:18	23
8	Colegiales	18	6	5	7	17:17	23
9	San Martin T.	18	5	8	5	15:15	23
10	Deportivo Maipu	18	6	4	8	22:20	22
11	Nueva Chicago	17	5	7	5	15:16	22
12	Almagro	18	6	4	8	15:19	22
13	Quilmes	18	5	6	7	16:14	21
14	Gimnasia y Tiro	18	5	6	7	16:19	21
15	Patronato	18	4	9	5	12:15	21
16	Chacarita Juniors	18	5	4	9	14:20	19
17	Club Atletico Guemes	18	5	4	9	18:30	19
18	Agropecuario	18	4	6	8	14:22	18