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Almagro vs Chacarita Juniors - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Tres de Febrero, Jose Ingenieros
Almagro Logo

Almagro

Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Chacarita Juniors Logo

Chacarita Juniors

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Almagro host Chacarita Juniors in the Primera Nacional. This one's hard to separate. Chacarita Juniors have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Almagro have conceded 1.21 and scored 0.97. Past meetings favor Chacarita Juniors slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 24, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 0.94) point toward Almagro. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Almagro
15%
Draws
51%
Chacarita Juniors
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chacarita Juniors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Almagro have won more games recently than Chacarita Juniors.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Almagro Clean Sheet 24%
Chacarita Juniors Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almagro Chacarita Juniors
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 0.97 0.66
Goals Conceded 1.21 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Primera Nacional
Chacarita Juniors vs Almagro
1:0
Apr 2, 2022 Primera Nacional
Almagro vs Chacarita Juniors
1:3
Jan 12, 2021 Primera Nacional
Almagro vs Chacarita Juniors
0:2
Mar 17, 2020 Primera Nacional
Chacarita Juniors vs Almagro
1:2
Sep 21, 2019 Primera Nacional
Almagro vs Chacarita Juniors
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almagro 33 / 100
Chacarita Juniors 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almagro Chacarita Juniors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chacarita Juniors Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Almagro's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Chacarita Juniors conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Chacarita Juniors registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Almagro VS Chacarita Juniors
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Almagro

(Home)
04 Oct
San Martin S.J.
1 : 2
Almagro
27 Sept
Almagro
0 : 1
Nueva Chicago
19 Sept
Temperley
3 : 1
Almagro
12 Sept
Almagro
2 : 2
Deportivo Maipu
06 Sept
Almagro
1 : 2
Gimnasia Jujuy
Page 1 of 6

Chacarita Juniors

(Away)
04 Oct
Chacarita Juniors
1 : 0
Patronato
26 Sept
Colegiales
2 : 1
Chacarita Juniors
20 Sept
Chacarita Juniors
3 : 0
Quilmes
13 Sept
Midland
1 : 0
Chacarita Juniors
05 Sept
Chacarita Juniors
0 : 1
Atletico Atlanta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 32 15 13 4 32:15 58
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 32 13 9 10 34:26 48
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 32 13 7 12 32:31 46
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 32 11 9 12 27:30 42
12 Quilmes 32 10 9 13 30:27 39
13 Almagro 32 10 8 14 28:38 38
14 Agropecuario 32 9 10 13 26:35 37
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 32 9 6 17 24:33 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)