Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Almagro vs Tristan Suarez - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Tres de Febrero, Jose Ingenieros
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Almagro host Tristan Suarez in the Primera Nacional. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Recent numbers: Almagro at 1 goals for, 1.28 against; Tristan Suarez at 0.9 for, 0.47 against. Past meetings favor Tristan Suarez slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 6, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.69 - 1.00) back Tristan Suarez to edge this. The model tips Under 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Almagro
30%
Draws
42%
Tristan Suarez
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tristan Suarez

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Tristan Suarez have won more games recently than Almagro.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Almagro Clean Sheet 23%
Tristan Suarez Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almagro Tristan Suarez
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 6 11
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Primera Nacional
Tristan Suarez vs Almagro
0:0
Jun 21, 2025 Primera Nacional
Almagro vs Tristan Suarez
0:1
Feb 15, 2025 Primera Nacional
Tristan Suarez vs Almagro
2:1
Mar 11, 2022 Primera Nacional
Almagro vs Tristan Suarez
1:0
Jul 23, 2021 Primera Nacional
Tristan Suarez vs Almagro
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almagro 33 / 100
Tristan Suarez 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almagro Tristan Suarez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tristan Suarez Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Almagro scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Tristan Suarez let in goals in 30% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Almagro has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Almagro VS Tristan Suarez
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.25
63% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Almagro

(Home)
18 Oct
Club Atletico Guemes
2 : 1
Almagro
10 Oct
Almagro
2 : 1
Chacarita Juniors
04 Oct
San Martin S.J.
1 : 2
Almagro
27 Sept
Almagro
0 : 1
Nueva Chicago
19 Sept
Temperley
3 : 1
Almagro
Page 1 of 6

Tristan Suarez

(Away)
17 Oct
Tristan Suarez
1 : 0
Patronato
10 Oct
Colegiales
0 : 0
Tristan Suarez
03 Oct
Tristan Suarez
0 : 0
Quilmes
27 Sept
Midland
0 : 1
Tristan Suarez
21 Sept
Tristan Suarez
0 : 0
Atletico Atlanta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 34 19 8 7 38:28 65
2 Godoy Cruz 34 17 9 8 48:32 60
3 Deportivo Moron 34 17 7 10 51:36 58
4 Deportivo Madryn 34 14 12 8 47:30 54
5 Colon Santa Fe 34 14 12 8 41:27 54
6 Ciudad Bolivar 34 13 12 9 30:29 51
7 Almirante Brown 34 12 12 10 28:24 48
8 CA Estudiantes 34 13 9 12 34:33 48
9 Los Andes 34 9 14 11 26:25 41
10 Chaco For Ever 34 10 10 14 33:36 40
11 Racing Cordoba 34 10 10 14 30:40 40
12 CA Mitre 34 8 15 11 31:39 39
13 Defensores de Belgrano 34 8 14 12 25:32 38
14 San Telmo 34 9 11 14 28:37 38
15 Central Norte 34 7 16 11 23:31 37
16 All Boys 34 6 17 11 19:29 35
17 Acassuso 34 8 9 17 25:35 33
18 San Miguel 34 6 14 14 27:41 32
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 34 16 14 4 33:15 62
2 Temperley 34 16 12 6 41:28 60
3 Gimnasia Jujuy 34 16 10 8 51:42 58
4 Atletico Atlanta 34 18 4 12 40:33 58
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 34 14 10 10 37:31 52
6 Midland 34 14 9 11 40:29 51
7 Colegiales 34 14 8 12 35:31 50
8 Deportivo Maipu 34 13 9 12 40:33 48
9 San Martin S.J. 34 12 11 11 36:34 47
10 San Martin T. 34 11 13 10 38:35 46
11 Atl. Rafaela 34 12 9 13 28:34 45
12 Almagro 34 11 8 15 31:41 41
13 Agropecuario 34 10 10 14 27:38 40
14 Quilmes 34 10 9 15 30:29 39
15 Patronato 34 7 16 11 29:33 37
16 Chacarita Juniors 34 10 6 18 26:35 36
17 Nueva Chicago 34 9 9 16 24:33 36
18 Club Atletico Guemes 34 6 8 20 25:57 26
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)