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Almancilense vs Moncarapachense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2017/2018 game between Almancilense and Moncarapachense finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Almancilense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Almancilense
30%
Draws
41%
Moncarapachense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Moncarapachense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Moncarapachense come out ahead of Almancilense on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Moncarapachense's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Almancilense Clean Sheet 20%
Moncarapachense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almancilense Moncarapachense
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 7 16
Draws 7 10
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.1 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.67 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Almancilense vs Moncarapachense
2:1
Sep 30, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Moncarapachense vs Almancilense
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almancilense 24 / 100
Moncarapachense 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almancilense Moncarapachense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moncarapachense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Almancilense found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Moncarapachense conceded in 60% of 40 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Almancilense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Moncarapachense
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Almancilense

(Home)
09 Sept
Almancilense
0 : 1
Moura AC
22 Apr
Almancilense
5 : 3
Montijo
15 Apr
Armacenenses
0 : 0
Almancilense
08 Apr
Almancilense
0 : 2
SC Farense
31 Mar
Castrense
1 : 1
Almancilense
Page 1 of 6

Moncarapachense

(Away)
18 Apr
O Elvas CAD
0 : 0
Moncarapachense
12 Apr
Moncarapachense
0 : 1
Juv. Evora
04 Apr
Louletano
1 : 0
Moncarapachense
22 Mar
Moncarapachense
2 : 0
Sintrense
15 Mar
Portimonense B
0 : 3
Moncarapachense
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Farense 30 26 3 1 66:12 81
2 Oriental 30 19 6 5 40:19 63
3 Olhanense 30 18 4 8 42:30 58
4 Casa Pia 30 16 5 9 50:31 53
5 Pinhalnovense 30 13 7 10 43:29 46
6 Louletano 30 13 5 12 43:39 44
7 Armacenenses 30 11 11 8 31:29 44
8 Moura AC 30 12 5 13 41:38 41
9 Montijo 30 9 10 11 40:44 37
10 Sporting Ideal 30 10 5 15 29:38 35
11 Estrela Vendas Novas 30 8 8 14 32:54 32
12 Operario 30 7 9 14 35:46 30
13 Almancilense 30 7 7 16 33:50 28
14 Castrense 30 5 11 14 32:47 26
15 Lusitano VRSA 30 6 7 17 24:49 25
16 Moncarapachense 30 6 5 19 27:53 23
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2017/2018 (Play Offs)