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Almancilense vs Montijo

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2017/2018
Almancilense Logo

Almancilense

5 - 3
FT
Montijo Logo

Montijo

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Almancilense in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 5-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Almancilense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Almancilense
20%
Draws
0%
Montijo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Almancilense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Almancilense at 1.1 per game, Montijo at 1.
  • Win probability leans Almancilense's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Almancilense Clean Sheet 20%
Montijo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almancilense Montijo
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 7
Draws 7 4
Losses 16 20
Goals Scored 1.1 1
Goals Conceded 1.67 2.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Almancilense vs Montijo
5:3
Jan 7, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Montijo vs Almancilense
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almancilense 85 / 100
Montijo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almancilense Montijo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Almancilense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montijo has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Montijo lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Almancilense scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Montijo
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Almancilense

(Home)
09 Sept
Almancilense
0 : 1
Moura AC
22 Apr
Almancilense
5 : 3
Montijo
15 Apr
Armacenenses
0 : 0
Almancilense
08 Apr
Almancilense
0 : 2
SC Farense
31 Mar
Castrense
1 : 1
Almancilense
Page 1 of 6

Montijo

(Away)
29 Aug
Montijo
0 : 4
Atletico CP
31 Aug
Charneca Caparica
1 : 0
Montijo
21 Sept
Montijo
1 : 2
Mafra
02 Oct
GD Braganca
1 : 0
Montijo
11 Apr
Oriental
1 : 0
Montijo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Farense 30 26 3 1 66:12 81
2 Oriental 30 19 6 5 40:19 63
3 Olhanense 30 18 4 8 42:30 58
4 Casa Pia 30 16 5 9 50:31 53
5 Pinhalnovense 30 13 7 10 43:29 46
6 Louletano 30 13 5 12 43:39 44
7 Armacenenses 30 11 11 8 31:29 44
8 Moura AC 30 12 5 13 41:38 41
9 Montijo 30 9 10 11 40:44 37
10 Sporting Ideal 30 10 5 15 29:38 35
11 Estrela Vendas Novas 30 8 8 14 32:54 32
12 Operario 30 7 9 14 35:46 30
13 Almancilense 30 7 7 16 33:50 28
14 Castrense 30 5 11 14 32:47 26
15 Lusitano VRSA 30 6 7 17 24:49 25
16 Moncarapachense 30 6 5 19 27:53 23
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2017/2018 (Play Offs)