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Almancilense vs Oriental

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2017/2018
Almancilense Logo

Almancilense

0 - 1
FT
Oriental Logo

Oriental

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2017/2018 game between Almancilense and Oriental finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Oriental.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Almancilense
35%
Draws
32%
Oriental
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Oriental carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Almancilense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Almancilense Clean Sheet 20%
Oriental Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almancilense Oriental
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 11
Draws 7 11
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.1 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Almancilense vs Oriental
0:1
Nov 26, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Oriental vs Almancilense
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almancilense 42 / 100
Oriental 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almancilense Oriental

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Almancilense found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Oriental conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

Solid form: Almancilense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Oriental
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Almancilense

(Home)
09 Sept
Almancilense
0 : 1
Moura AC
22 Apr
Almancilense
5 : 3
Montijo
15 Apr
Armacenenses
0 : 0
Almancilense
08 Apr
Almancilense
0 : 2
SC Farense
31 Mar
Castrense
1 : 1
Almancilense
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Oriental

(Away)
18 Apr
Oriental
2 : 1
Serpa
12 Apr
GD Alcochetense
1 : 1
Oriental
04 Apr
Oriental
0 : 2
Lagoa
22 Mar
Oriental
1 : 2
Alverca B
15 Mar
O Elvas CAD
0 : 0
Oriental
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Farense 30 26 3 1 66:12 81
2 Oriental 30 19 6 5 40:19 63
3 Olhanense 30 18 4 8 42:30 58
4 Casa Pia 30 16 5 9 50:31 53
5 Pinhalnovense 30 13 7 10 43:29 46
6 Louletano 30 13 5 12 43:39 44
7 Armacenenses 30 11 11 8 31:29 44
8 Moura AC 30 12 5 13 41:38 41
9 Montijo 30 9 10 11 40:44 37
10 Sporting Ideal 30 10 5 15 29:38 35
11 Estrela Vendas Novas 30 8 8 14 32:54 32
12 Operario 30 7 9 14 35:46 30
13 Almancilense 30 7 7 16 33:50 28
14 Castrense 30 5 11 14 32:47 26
15 Lusitano VRSA 30 6 7 17 24:49 25
16 Moncarapachense 30 6 5 19 27:53 23
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2017/2018 (Play Offs)