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Almazan vs Penaranda de Bracamonte

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Almazan in this Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Almazan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Almazan
20%
Draws
51%
Penaranda de Bracamonte
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Penaranda de Bracamonte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Penaranda de Bracamonte haven't matched Almazan's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Almazan a 29% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Almazan Clean Sheet 19%
Penaranda de Bracamonte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almazan Penaranda de Bracamonte
Matches Played 43 30
Wins 21 8
Draws 11 6
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.65 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.98 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Almazan vs Penaranda de Bracamonte
4:2
Apr 17, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Penaranda de Bracamonte vs Almazan
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almazan 76 / 100
Penaranda de Bracamonte 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almazan Penaranda de Bracamonte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Almazan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Almazan's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 43 recent games.

Penaranda de Bracamonte let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Almazan remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Almazan VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Almazan

(Home)
10 May
Almazan
1 : 1
Santa Marta Tormes
01 May
La Virgen
1 : 2
Almazan
26 Apr
Almazan
0 : 1
Mansilles
23 Apr
Mansilles
1 : 0
Almazan
19 Apr
Atletico Tordesillas
1 : 0
Almazan
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Penaranda de Bracamonte

(Away)
20 Jun
Penaranda de Bracamonte
3 : 1
Real Burgos CF
13 Jun
CD Cebrerena
2 : 0
Penaranda de Bracamonte
05 Jun
Penaranda de Bracamonte
0 : 0
Bupolsa
30 May
Almazan
4 : 2
Penaranda de Bracamonte
22 May
Penaranda de Bracamonte
1 : 0
Colegios Diocesanos
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