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Almazan vs Ponferradina B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

85' Event
Gonzalez O.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2023/2024 game between Almazan and Ponferradina B finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Almazan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Almazan
35%
Draws
8%
Ponferradina B
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Almazan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Almazan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Almazan a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Almazan Clean Sheet 68%
Ponferradina B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almazan Ponferradina B
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 13 2
Draws 13 8
Losses 7 20
Goals Scored 1.58 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Ponferradina B vs Almazan
1:3
Mar 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Almazan vs Ponferradina B
1:0
Feb 11, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Ponferradina B vs Almazan
3:0
Oct 9, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Almazan vs Ponferradina B
1:1
Jan 14, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Ponferradina B vs Almazan
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Almazan Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Ponferradina B Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almazan 95 / 100
Ponferradina B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almazan Ponferradina B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Almazan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Almazan's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Ponferradina B let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Almazan stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Almazan VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Almazan

(Home)
03 Oct
Almazan
2 : 2
Palencia CF
27 Sept
Colegios Diocesanos
1 : 1
Almazan
19 Sept
Almazan
2 : 2
Villaralbo
12 Sept
Arandina
1 : 1
Almazan
06 Sept
Almazan
2 : 1
Unionistas de Salamanca B
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Ponferradina B

(Away)
11 May
Ponferradina B
1 : 3
Almazan
05 May
Salamanca CF UDS
3 : 0
Ponferradina B
01 May
Ponferradina B
1 : 2
Villaralbo
27 Apr
Real Avila
2 : 1
Ponferradina B
20 Apr
Ponferradina B
0 : 0
Bembibre
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Avila 34 23 7 4 52:20 76
2 Salamanca CF UDS 34 21 10 3 62:16 73
3 Atletico Tordesillas 34 19 8 7 44:23 65
4 Leonesa B 34 18 9 7 52:26 63
5 Atletico Astorga 34 15 11 8 39:24 56
6 Palencia CA 34 15 10 9 41:26 55
7 Palencia CF 34 14 11 9 31:28 53
8 Becerril 34 15 6 13 38:42 51
9 Santa Marta Tormes 34 11 10 13 36:43 43
10 La Virgen 34 10 11 13 36:42 41
11 Almazan 34 11 8 15 34:42 41
12 Bembibre 34 10 11 13 34:39 41
13 Burgos CF B 34 10 10 14 30:39 40
14 Mirandes B 34 8 11 15 28:38 35
15 Villaralbo 34 8 9 17 30:45 33
16 CD Laguna (Valladolid) 34 8 5 21 27:57 29
17 Colegios Diocesanos 34 4 13 17 14:41 25
18 Ponferradina B 34 2 8 24 22:59 14
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2023/2024 (Play Offs)