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Almere City vs Apeldoorn - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie 2012/2013
Fri, Apr 26, 2013
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Almere City host Apeldoorn in the Eerste Divisie 2012/2013. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Apeldoorn have shipped 2 goals a game lately, while Almere City have conceded 1.52 and scored 2.03. Head-to-head, Almere City have won 1 to Apeldoorn's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2013, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.48 xG vs 1.31) point toward Almere City. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Almere City
15%
Draws
37%
Apeldoorn
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Almere City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Almere City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Almere City's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Almere City Clean Sheet 18%
Apeldoorn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almere City Apeldoorn
Matches Played 29 14
Wins 16 3
Draws 2 4
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 2.03 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.52 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2013 Eerste Divisie
Almere City vs Apeldoorn
0:0
Dec 17, 2012 Eerste Divisie
Apeldoorn vs Almere City
4:0
Jan 13, 2012 Eerste Divisie
Apeldoorn vs Almere City
1:1
Aug 28, 2011 Eerste Divisie
Almere City vs Apeldoorn
4:1
Apr 15, 2011 Eerste Divisie
Apeldoorn vs Almere City
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almere City 85 / 100
Apeldoorn 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almere City Apeldoorn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Almere City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Almere City's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Apeldoorn conceded in 71% of 14 recent games.

Almere City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Almere City VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Almere City

(Home)
03 Oct
Almere City
1 : 0
FC Volendam
25 Sept
Dordrecht
3 : 2
Almere City
18 Sept
Almere City
1 : 0
Heracles
11 Sept
Maastricht
0 : 4
Almere City
04 Sept
Almere City
0 : 1
Jong Ajax
Page 1 of 6

Apeldoorn

(Away)
11 Jul
Apeldoorn
1 : 7
AZ Alkmaar
05 Jan
Feyenoord
0 : 0
Apeldoorn
21 Dec
Apeldoorn
0 : 2
Sittard
17 Dec
Apeldoorn
4 : 0
Almere City
14 Dec
Eindhoven FC
1 : 6
Apeldoorn
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cambuur 30 19 4 7 59:33 61
2 FC Volendam 30 19 3 8 70:43 60
3 Sparta Rotterdam 30 16 7 7 59:36 55
4 Helmond Sport 30 15 10 5 55:45 55
5 Maastricht 30 14 8 8 56:44 50
6 G.A. Eagles 30 13 9 8 60:46 48
7 Sittard 30 13 7 10 39:33 46
8 De Graafschap 30 12 9 9 57:41 45
9 Dordrecht 30 11 7 12 56:56 40
10 TOP Oss 30 10 7 13 40:57 37
11 Den Bosch 30 10 5 15 38:49 35
12 FC Emmen 30 8 8 14 38:52 32
13 Almere City 30 10 1 19 41:67 31
14 Telstar 30 7 8 15 31:46 29
15 Excelsior 30 4 9 17 39:63 21
16 Eindhoven FC 30 5 6 19 40:67 21
17 Apeldoorn 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 Veendam 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Eredivisie 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2012/2013 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2012/2013 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2012/2013 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2012/2013 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2012/2013 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2012/2013 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2012/2013 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2012/2013 (Promotion)