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Almere City vs Hardenberg

World World

Club Friendly
Sat, Jun 27, 2026
VS
10:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Almere City host Hardenberg in the Club Friendly. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Almere City have averaged 2.14 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Hardenberg's 1.61 scored and 1.54 conceded. Past meetings favor Almere City slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 27, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.38, favoring Almere City. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Almere City
20%
Draws
15%
Hardenberg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Almere City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Almere City have won more games recently than Hardenberg.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Almere City taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Almere City Clean Sheet 17%
Hardenberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almere City Hardenberg
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 10
Draws 3 7
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2.14 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Club Friendly
Almere City vs Hardenberg
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almere City 84 / 100
Hardenberg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almere City Hardenberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Almere City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Almere City scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Hardenberg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 28 matches.

Almere City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Hardenberg's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Almere City VS Hardenberg
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Almere City

(Home)
25 Sept
Dordrecht
3 : 2
Almere City
18 Sept
Almere City
1 : 0
Heracles
11 Sept
Maastricht
0 : 4
Almere City
04 Sept
Almere City
0 : 1
Jong Ajax
29 Aug
De Graafschap
1 : 4
Almere City
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Hardenberg

(Away)
26 Sept
Quick Boys
2 : 0
Hardenberg
22 Sept
Hardenberg
0 : 1
Barendrecht
19 Sept
Hardenberg
1 : 2
Kozakken Boys
12 Sept
AFC
2 : 2
Hardenberg
05 Sept
Hardenberg
2 : 2
De Treffers
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