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Hardenberg

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Almere City play Hardenberg in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Almere City averaged 2 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Hardenberg averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, Almere City won 0, Hardenberg won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 27, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.84 for Almere City and 1.60 for Hardenberg. This points to a Almere City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%

Almere City

15%

Draws

37%

Hardenberg

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Almere City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Almere City picked up more points recently compared to Hardenberg.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.84 vs 1.60 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 83%

Over 2.5 Goals 66%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%

Almere City Clean Sheet 14%

Hardenberg Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 75%

Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Almere City	Hardenberg
Matches Played	27	30
Wins	14	12
Draws	3	5
Losses	10	13
Goals Scored	2	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.53
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	1.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Club Friendly

Almere City vs Hardenberg

Possession: 43% - 54% Cards: 4 - 0

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almere City 46 / 100

Hardenberg 35 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Almere City Hardenberg

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Almere City or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20%

2.50

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.2%

1.67

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Almere City attacking → ← attacking Hardenberg

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Almere City scored in 89% of their last 27 games.

Hardenberg let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Almere City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Hardenberg lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 41

2.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.57

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.43