Sport Picks
Almere City vs TOP Oss - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 Yanmar Stadion, Almere 
Match Events
10'
10'
Poku E.
Assist: el Dahri H.
25'
25'
Wildeboer T.
Assist: Remans M.
45'
45'
van de Blaak E.
AI Match Summary
Almere City in this Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Almere City.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Almere City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Almere City lately — more wins on the board than TOP Oss.
- Win probability leans Almere City's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Almere City have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Almere City Clean Sheet 20%
TOP Oss Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Almere City | TOP Oss |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 18 | 9 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 10 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 2.17 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Almere City vs TOP Oss
8:4
Apr 3, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Almere City vs TOP Oss
3:2
Nov 29, 2025 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs Almere City
1:2
Apr 28, 2023 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs Almere City
0:5
Oct 18, 2022 KNVB Beker
Almere City vs TOP Oss
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Almere City Compare
Top Goalscorer Poku E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rijkhoff J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
TOP Oss Compare
Top Goalscorer Wildeboer T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hinoke M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Almere City 40 / 100
TOP Oss 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Almere City TOP Oss
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Almere City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Almere City found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).
TOP Oss's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 5.40 goals.
Recent resilience: Almere City stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Almere City VS TOP Oss
2.25 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Almere City
(Home) 03 Oct
Almere City
1 : 0 FC Volendam
25 Sept
Dordrecht
3 : 2 Almere City
18 Sept
Almere City
1 : 0 Heracles
11 Sept
Maastricht
0 : 4 Almere City
04 Sept
Almere City
0 : 1 Jong Ajax
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Almere City
1 : 0 FC Volendam
18 Sept
Almere City
1 : 0 Heracles
04 Sept
Almere City
0 : 1 Jong Ajax
14 Aug
Almere City
3 : 1 Jong PSV
25 Jul
Almere City
8 : 4 TOP Oss
Page 1 of 3
TOP Oss
(Away) 03 Oct
TOP Oss
4 : 1 Maastricht
26 Sept
FC Emmen
1 : 0 TOP Oss
18 Sept
TOP Oss
3 : 0 Dordrecht
11 Sept
Venlo
3 : 1 TOP Oss
04 Sept
Vitesse
2 : 1 TOP Oss
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
FC Emmen
1 : 0 TOP Oss
11 Sept
Venlo
3 : 1 TOP Oss
04 Sept
Vitesse
2 : 1 TOP Oss
24 Aug
Jong PSV
1 : 0 TOP Oss
15 Aug
FC Volendam
3 : 0 TOP Oss
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Den Haag | 38 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 90:37 | 89 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:48 | 78 |
| 3 | Willem II | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 59:42 | 68 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 74:58 | 63 |
| 5 | Almere City | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 78:63 | 58 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 71:59 | 58 |
| 7 | Jong PSV | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 66:64 | 56 |
| 8 | Roda | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 59:54 | 55 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 65:69 | 51 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:56 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:69 | 47 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:62 | 46 |
| 13 | Venlo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:58 | 45 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 58:72 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:55 | 44 |
| 16 | TOP Oss | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 54:64 | 44 |
| 17 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 61:76 | 40 |
| 18 | Helmond Sport | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:62 | 39 |
| 19 | Maastricht | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:73 | 38 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 50:73 | 35 |
Promotion - Eredivisie (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
