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Almeria B vs CD Estepona

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Soria Blazquez R.
37' Event
Taufek B. M.
71'
Kone A.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 game between Almeria B and CD Estepona finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Estepona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Almeria B
15%
Draws
37%
CD Estepona
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Almeria B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Almeria B haven't matched CD Estepona's recent run of results.
  • Almeria B are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Almeria B Clean Sheet 68%
CD Estepona Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almeria B CD Estepona
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 12
Draws 9 9
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.03 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Almeria B vs CD Estepona
1:2
Dec 20, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
CD Estepona vs Almeria B
1:1
Apr 13, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Almeria B vs CD Estepona
1:2
Nov 30, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
CD Estepona vs Almeria B
0:1
Jan 8, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Almeria B vs CD Estepona
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Almeria B Compare

Top Goalscorer Taufek B. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

CD Estepona Compare

Top Goalscorer Soria Blazquez R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ballarin D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almeria B 68 / 100
CD Estepona 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almeria B CD Estepona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Almeria B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Almeria B scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

CD Estepona let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Almeria B remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Almeria B VS CD Estepona
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Almeria B

(Home)
27 Sept
Almeria B
4 : 0
Atletico de Porcuna
20 Sept
UD San Pedro
1 : 0
Almeria B
13 Sept
Almeria B
2 : 0
CD Alhaurino
06 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2
Almeria B
03 May
Aguilas FC
2 : 0
Almeria B
Page 1 of 6

CD Estepona

(Away)
27 Sept
Tenerife B
2 : 1
CD Estepona
19 Sept
Puente Genil
0 : 2
CD Estepona
12 Sept
CD Estepona
1 : 4
Linares
05 Sept
CD Estepona
0 : 0
Xerez CD
16 May
CD Estepona
3 : 1
Real Madrid C
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Extremadura 34 17 12 5 54:38 63
2 Deportiva Minera 34 19 6 9 50:33 63
3 Aguilas FC 34 18 7 9 45:25 61
4 Xerez CD 34 17 8 9 32:24 59
5 Jaen 34 16 10 8 43:33 58
6 Recreativo Huelva 34 16 9 9 41:25 57
7 UCAM Murcia 34 16 7 11 49:41 55
8 Linares 34 11 14 9 42:45 47
9 La Union (Malacitano) 34 13 6 15 44:43 45
10 Lorca Deportiva 34 12 9 13 32:36 45
11 Yeclano 34 12 8 14 33:33 44
12 Antoniano 34 12 8 14 38:40 44
13 CD Estepona 34 12 8 14 40:44 44
14 Puente Genil 34 10 10 14 28:37 40
15 Xerez Deportivo FC 34 8 12 14 34:43 36
16 Melilla 34 7 13 14 36:40 34
17 Almeria B 34 4 9 21 26:53 21
18 Malaga B 34 5 6 23 32:66 21
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)