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Almeria B vs Futbol Club Jumilla

Spain Spain

Segunda Division B - Group 4 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Almeria B play Futbol Club Jumilla in the Segunda Division B - Group 4 2018/2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Almeria B averaged 0.85 goals scored and 1.58 conceded. Futbol Club Jumilla averaged 0.82 goals scored and 1.18 conceded. In past meetings, Almeria B won 2, Futbol Club Jumilla won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 3, 2019 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Almeria B and 1.19 for Futbol Club Jumilla. This points to a Futbol Club Jumilla double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Almeria B
24%
Draws
46%
Futbol Club Jumilla
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Futbol Club Jumilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Almeria B picked up more points recently compared to Futbol Club Jumilla.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Almeria B Clean Sheet 20%
Futbol Club Jumilla Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 56%
Second Half Goal 59%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almeria B Futbol Club Jumilla
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 4 7
Draws 9 7
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 0.85 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.18

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2019 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Almeria B vs Futbol Club Jumilla
0:1
Oct 14, 2018 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Futbol Club Jumilla vs Almeria B
1:0
Jan 10, 2016 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Almeria B vs Futbol Club Jumilla
3:1
Aug 23, 2015 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Futbol Club Jumilla vs Almeria B
0:0
May 15, 2011 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Futbol Club Jumilla vs Almeria B
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Almeria B Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Futbol Club Jumilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Hanne B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almeria B 31 / 100
Futbol Club Jumilla 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almeria B Futbol Club Jumilla

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Futbol Club Jumilla or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.9%
3.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Almeria B attacking → ← attacking Futbol Club Jumilla

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Almeria B scored in 61% of their last 33 games.

Futbol Club Jumilla let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Almeria B went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Futbol Club Jumilla lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 28
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Recreativo Huelva38239650:2378
2FC Cartagena SAD38229762:2775
3Melilla38219855:3272
4CD Badajoz381991044:3166
5UCAM Murcia382061254:4066
6UD Ibiza381712941:3163
7Marbella381791242:3360
8CD San Fernando381791244:3660
9CF Talavera381481634:3450
10Sevilla B381391637:4648
11Murcia3811151232:3248
12Linense3811131433:3346
13Sanluqueno3812101632:4846
14Granada CF B3811121537:4245
15Don Benito3811111638:4944
16Futbol Club Jumilla3811101731:4243
17Ejido381091929:4739
18Villanovense387171432:4038
19Malaga B38782327:5429
20Almeria B38582527:6123