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Almeria B vs Malaga B

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Kounia H.
67' Event
Agullo Sanchez V.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Almeria B
20%
Draws
51%
Malaga B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Malaga B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Malaga B have won more games recently than Almeria B.
  • Model gives Malaga B a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Almeria B Clean Sheet 15%
Malaga B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almeria B Malaga B
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 4 8
Draws 9 4
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 0.93 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Almeria B vs Malaga B
1:1
Sep 14, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Malaga B vs Almeria B
0:1
May 26, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga B vs Almeria B
1:2
May 19, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Almeria B vs Malaga B
3:1
Jan 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Almeria B vs Malaga B
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Almeria B Compare

Top Goalscorer Kounia H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Malaga B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almeria B 23 / 100
Malaga B 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almeria B Malaga B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malaga B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malaga B has conceded goals in 94% of their last 31 outings.

Almeria B scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Almeria B stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Almeria B VS Malaga B
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Almeria B

(Home)
06 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2
Almeria B
03 May
Aguilas FC
2 : 0
Almeria B
26 Apr
Almeria B
3 : 4
Deportiva Minera
19 Apr
Yeclano
1 : 1
Almeria B
11 Apr
Almeria B
1 : 2
CD Estepona
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Malaga B

(Away)
12 Sept
Malaga B
6 : 1
Atletico de Porcuna
06 Sept
UD San Pedro
1 : 0
Malaga B
03 May
Malaga B
3 : 3
Melilla
26 Apr
Puente Genil
2 : 1
Malaga B
18 Apr
Malaga B
3 : 2
Antoniano
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Extremadura 34 17 12 5 54:38 63
2 Deportiva Minera 34 19 6 9 50:33 63
3 Aguilas FC 34 18 7 9 45:25 61
4 Xerez CD 34 17 8 9 32:24 59
5 Jaen 34 16 10 8 43:33 58
6 Recreativo Huelva 34 16 9 9 41:25 57
7 UCAM Murcia 34 16 7 11 49:41 55
8 Linares 34 11 14 9 42:45 47
9 La Union (Malacitano) 34 13 6 15 44:43 45
10 Lorca Deportiva 34 12 9 13 32:36 45
11 Yeclano 34 12 8 14 33:33 44
12 Antoniano 34 12 8 14 38:40 44
13 CD Estepona 34 12 8 14 40:44 44
14 Puente Genil 34 10 10 14 28:37 40
15 Xerez Deportivo FC 34 8 12 14 34:43 36
16 Melilla 34 7 13 14 36:40 34
17 Almeria B 34 4 9 21 26:53 21
18 Malaga B 34 5 6 23 32:66 21
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)