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Almeria B vs Malaga B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Almeria B host Malaga B in the Tercera RFEF - Group 9. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Malaga B have shipped 1.77 goals a game lately, while Almeria B have conceded 1.34 and scored 1.07. Head-to-head, Almeria B have won 3 to Malaga B's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 8, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.56 - 1.75) back Almeria B to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Almeria B
20%
Draws
40%
Malaga B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Almeria B haven't matched Malaga B's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Almeria B's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Almeria B Clean Sheet 12%
Malaga B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almeria B Malaga B
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 6 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.07 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Almeria B vs Malaga B
1:1
Sep 14, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Malaga B vs Almeria B
0:1
May 26, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga B vs Almeria B
1:2
May 19, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Almeria B vs Malaga B
3:1
Jan 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Almeria B vs Malaga B
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almeria B 35 / 100
Malaga B 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almeria B Malaga B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malaga B has conceded goals in 90% of their last 31 outings.

Almeria B found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Almeria B has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Almeria B VS Malaga B
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Almeria B

(Home)
04 Oct
Cantoria
1 : 1
Almeria B
27 Sept
Almeria B
4 : 0
Atletico de Porcuna
20 Sept
UD San Pedro
1 : 0
Almeria B
13 Sept
Almeria B
2 : 0
CD Alhaurino
06 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2
Almeria B
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Malaga B

(Away)
03 Oct
Malaga B
2 : 0
Granada CF B
26 Sept
Malaga B
1 : 0
Atletico de Marbella
20 Sept
Cantoria
2 : 2
Malaga B
12 Sept
Malaga B
6 : 1
Atletico de Porcuna
06 Sept
UD San Pedro
1 : 0
Malaga B
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Melilla 5 5 0 0 11:3 15
2 Marbelli 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
3 Arenas Armilla 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
4 Motril 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
5 Malaga B 5 3 1 1 11:4 10
6 Almeria B 5 3 1 1 9:3 10
7 UD San Pedro 5 3 0 2 7:8 9
8 Granada CF B 5 2 1 2 7:4 7
9 Churriana de la Vega 5 2 0 3 9:9 6
10 Atletico de Porcuna 5 2 0 3 6:14 6
11 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
12 Huetor Vega 5 1 2 2 7:9 5
13 Torre del Mar 5 1 1 3 3:5 4
14 Atletico de Marbella 5 1 1 3 2:5 4
15 CD Alhaurino 5 1 1 3 3:7 4
16 Cantoria 5 0 3 2 4:7 3
17 Mancha 5 0 2 3 2:7 2
18 Malaga Juniors 5 0 0 5 3:11 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 (Play Offs)