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Almeria B vs Xerez Deportivo FC

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Iglesias D. Y.
72'
Fidel Cedillo Segura P.
72'
Fidel Cedillo Segura P.

AI Match Summary

Almeria B host Xerez Deportivo FC in the Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026. This one's hard to separate. Almeria B have averaged 0.63 scored and 1.63 conceded recently, against Xerez Deportivo FC's 0.5 scored and 1.13 conceded. Past meetings favor Xerez Deportivo FC slightly — 0-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 1.06, favoring Xerez Deportivo FC. Xerez Deportivo FC in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Almeria B
20%
Draws
38%
Xerez Deportivo FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Almeria B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Xerez Deportivo FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Almeria B.
  • Model forecasts a 42% win probability edge for Almeria B.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Almeria B Clean Sheet 20%
Xerez Deportivo FC Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almeria B Xerez Deportivo FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 8
Draws 9 10
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 0.63 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Almeria B vs Xerez Deportivo FC
0:1
Nov 9, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Xerez Deportivo FC vs Almeria B
1:1
Mar 30, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Almeria B vs Xerez Deportivo FC
0:1
Nov 16, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Xerez Deportivo FC vs Almeria B
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Almeria B Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Xerez Deportivo FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Iglesias D. Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almeria B 42 / 100
Xerez Deportivo FC 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almeria B Xerez Deportivo FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Almeria B scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Xerez Deportivo FC let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Almeria B went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Xerez Deportivo FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Almeria B VS Xerez Deportivo FC
0.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CD Extremadura341712554:3863
2Deportiva Minera34196950:3363
3Aguilas FC34187945:2561
4Xerez CD34178932:2459
5Jaen341610843:3358
6Recreativo Huelva34169941:2557
7UCAM Murcia341671149:4155
8Linares341114942:4547
9La Union (Malacitano)341361544:4345
10Lorca Deportiva341291332:3645
11Yeclano341281433:3344
12Antoniano341281438:4044
13CD Estepona341281440:4444
14Puente Genil3410101428:3740
15Xerez Deportivo FC348121434:4336
16Melilla347131436:4034
17Almeria B34492126:5321
18Malaga B34562332:6621