Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Almeria vs Las Palmas

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 2025/2026 UD Almería Stadium, Almería
Our Tip

Match Events

49'
Pedrola E.
59'
Bonini F.
61' Event
Embarba A.

AI Match Summary

The LaLiga2 2025/2026 game between Almeria and Las Palmas finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Las Palmas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Almeria
15%
Draws
37%
Las Palmas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Almeria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Almeria's 1.68 goals per match outpaces what Las Palmas have produced (1.48).
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Almeria taking it.
  • Regular LaLiga2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Almeria Clean Sheet 20%
Las Palmas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almeria Las Palmas
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 15
Draws 3 4
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.68 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 LaLiga2
Almeria vs Las Palmas
1:2
Sep 27, 2025 LaLiga2
Las Palmas vs Almeria
0:1
Mar 17, 2024 LaLiga
Las Palmas vs Almeria
0:1
Oct 28, 2023 LaLiga
Almeria vs Las Palmas
1:2
Jul 23, 2023 Club Friendly
Las Palmas vs Almeria
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Almeria Compare

Top Goalscorer Embarba A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Las Palmas Compare

Top Goalscorer Clemente E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pejino
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almeria 67 / 100
Las Palmas 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almeria Las Palmas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Almeria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Almeria's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Las Palmas let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Almeria stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Almeria VS Las Palmas
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Almeria

(Home)
20 Sept
Almeria
2 : 0
Celta Vigo B
12 Sept
Cordoba
0 : 2
Almeria
06 Sept
Almeria
3 : 2
Cadiz
29 Aug
Sabadell
1 : 0
Almeria
23 Aug
Tenerife
1 : 0
Almeria
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Las Palmas

(Away)
20 Sept
Las Palmas
1 : 2
Burgos CF
12 Sept
Cadiz
0 : 1
Las Palmas
04 Sept
Las Palmas
0 : 0
Leganes
29 Aug
Girona
5 : 2
Las Palmas
22 Aug
AD Ceuta
0 : 2
Las Palmas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing Santander 42 25 7 10 90:61 82
2 Dep. A Coruna 42 22 11 9 65:44 77
3 Almeria 42 22 8 12 81:63 74
4 Malaga 42 21 10 11 75:52 73
5 Las Palmas 42 20 13 9 57:40 73
6 Castellon 42 20 12 10 70:51 72
7 Burgos CF 42 20 12 10 48:33 72
8 Eibar 42 19 10 13 52:40 67
9 Cordoba 42 17 10 15 57:61 61
10 Gijon 42 18 7 17 60:54 61
11 AD Ceuta 42 17 10 15 51:63 61
12 Albacete 42 16 11 15 56:55 59
13 FC Andorra 42 16 10 16 62:54 58
14 Granada CF 42 12 12 18 50:56 48
15 Real Sociedad B 42 12 11 19 52:61 47
16 Leganes 42 11 13 18 43:51 46
17 Valladolid 42 12 10 20 44:57 46
18 Cadiz 42 11 10 21 41:61 43
19 Mirandes 42 10 10 22 47:69 40
20 Huesca 42 9 11 22 41:63 38
21 Leonesa 42 9 10 23 39:68 37
22 Zaragoza 42 8 12 22 35:59 36
Promotion - LaLiga (Main)
Promotion - LaLiga2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)