Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Almeria vs Valladolid

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 2025/2026 UD Almería Stadium, Almería
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Clerc C.
42'
Munoz A.
42'
Michelin C.

AI Match Summary

Almeria in this LaLiga2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Almeria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Almeria
15%
Draws
37%
Valladolid
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Almeria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Almeria have won more games recently than Valladolid.
  • Almeria are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular LaLiga2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Almeria Clean Sheet 19%
Valladolid Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almeria Valladolid
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 9
Draws 4 5
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.69 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 LaLiga2
Almeria vs Valladolid
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 LaLiga2
Valladolid vs Almeria
3:1
May 28, 2023 LaLiga
Almeria vs Valladolid
0:0
Sep 5, 2022 LaLiga
Valladolid vs Almeria
1:0
Apr 16, 2022 LaLiga2
Valladolid vs Almeria
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almeria 76 / 100
Valladolid 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almeria Valladolid

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Almeria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Almeria scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Valladolid let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Almeria remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Almeria VS Valladolid
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Almeria

(Home)
12 Sept
Cordoba
0 : 2
Almeria
06 Sept
Almeria
3 : 2
Cadiz
29 Aug
Sabadell
1 : 0
Almeria
23 Aug
Tenerife
1 : 0
Almeria
17 Aug
Almeria
3 : 0
Eldense
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Valladolid

(Away)
05 Sept
Valladolid
1 : 0
FC Andorra
30 Aug
Cadiz
1 : 1
Valladolid
23 Aug
Eibar
1 : 0
Valladolid
15 Aug
Mallorca
2 : 0
Valladolid
08 Aug
Gijon
2 : 4
Valladolid
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing Santander 42 25 7 10 90:61 82
2 Dep. A Coruna 42 22 11 9 65:44 77
3 Almeria 42 22 8 12 81:63 74
4 Malaga 42 21 10 11 75:52 73
5 Las Palmas 42 20 13 9 57:40 73
6 Castellon 42 20 12 10 70:51 72
7 Burgos CF 42 20 12 10 48:33 72
8 Eibar 42 19 10 13 52:40 67
9 Cordoba 42 17 10 15 57:61 61
10 Gijon 42 18 7 17 60:54 61
11 AD Ceuta 42 17 10 15 51:63 61
12 Albacete 42 16 11 15 56:55 59
13 FC Andorra 42 16 10 16 62:54 58
14 Granada CF 42 12 12 18 50:56 48
15 Real Sociedad B 42 12 11 19 52:61 47
16 Leganes 42 11 13 18 43:51 46
17 Valladolid 42 12 10 20 44:57 46
18 Cadiz 42 11 10 21 41:61 43
19 Mirandes 42 10 10 22 47:69 40
20 Huesca 42 9 11 22 41:63 38
21 Leonesa 42 9 10 23 39:68 37
22 Zaragoza 42 8 12 22 35:59 36
Promotion - LaLiga (Main)
Promotion - LaLiga2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)