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Almirante Brown vs San Miguel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento, Isidro Casanova
Almirante Brown Logo

Almirante Brown

Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
San Miguel Logo

San Miguel

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Almirante Brown host San Miguel in the Primera Nacional. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Recent numbers: Almirante Brown at 0.76 goals for, 0.69 against; San Miguel at 0.72 for, 1.28 against. Head-to-head, Almirante Brown have won 1 to San Miguel's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 0.76) point toward Almirante Brown. AI goal market prediction: Under 2.5, BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Almirante Brown
35%
Draws
32%
San Miguel
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • San Miguel haven't matched Almirante Brown's recent run of results.
  • 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Almirante Brown Clean Sheet 68%
San Miguel Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almirante Brown San Miguel
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 4
Draws 9 12
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 0.76 0.72
Goals Conceded 0.69 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Miguel vs Almirante Brown
1:0
Mar 28, 2020 Primera B
San Miguel vs Almirante Brown
0:0
Oct 13, 2019 Primera B
Almirante Brown vs San Miguel
3:0
Mar 2, 2019 Primera B
Almirante Brown vs San Miguel
0:0
Sep 21, 2018 Primera B
San Miguel vs Almirante Brown
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almirante Brown 41 / 100
San Miguel 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almirante Brown San Miguel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Almirante Brown Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Miguel has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Difficult form: San Miguel registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Almirante Brown scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 0.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Almirante Brown VS San Miguel
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Almirante Brown

(Home)
04 Oct
San Telmo
3 : 2
Almirante Brown
26 Sept
Almirante Brown
0 : 1
Acassuso
20 Sept
Chaco For Ever
1 : 0
Almirante Brown
13 Sept
Almirante Brown
0 : 0
Ferro
06 Sept
Central Norte
0 : 0
Almirante Brown
Page 1 of 6

San Miguel

(Away)
03 Oct
San Miguel
0 : 2
CA Mitre
26 Sept
CA Estudiantes
2 : 1
San Miguel
19 Sept
San Miguel
1 : 1
All Boys
13 Sept
Los Andes
1 : 1
San Miguel
06 Sept
San Miguel
1 : 2
Godoy Cruz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 32 15 13 4 32:15 58
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 32 13 9 10 34:26 48
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 32 13 7 12 32:31 46
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 32 11 9 12 27:30 42
12 Quilmes 32 10 9 13 30:27 39
13 Almagro 32 10 8 14 28:38 38
14 Agropecuario 32 9 10 13 26:35 37
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 32 9 6 17 24:33 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)