Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Almirante Brown vs San Telmo

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento, Isidro Casanova
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Zarate T.
35'
Gamarra R.
64'
Sub
Salerno M. In: Zurbriggen J.
Out: Salerno M.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Almirante Brown and San Telmo finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Almirante Brown
30%
Draws
58%
San Telmo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: San Telmo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Almirante Brown come out ahead of San Telmo on wins alone.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on San Telmo taking it.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.8%
Almirante Brown Clean Sheet 29%
San Telmo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almirante Brown San Telmo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 9 9
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 0.76 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.69 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Telmo vs Almirante Brown
3:2
May 16, 2026 Primera Nacional
Almirante Brown vs San Telmo
0:0
Sep 8, 2025 Primera Nacional
Almirante Brown vs San Telmo
1:0
May 3, 2025 Primera Nacional
San Telmo vs Almirante Brown
0:1
Oct 5, 2024 Primera Nacional
San Telmo vs Almirante Brown
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almirante Brown 26 / 100
San Telmo 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almirante Brown San Telmo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Telmo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Almirante Brown scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: San Telmo conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Almirante Brown went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Almirante Brown VS San Telmo
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Almirante Brown

(Home)
04 Oct
San Telmo
3 : 2
Almirante Brown
26 Sept
Almirante Brown
0 : 1
Acassuso
20 Sept
Chaco For Ever
1 : 0
Almirante Brown
13 Sept
Almirante Brown
0 : 0
Ferro
06 Sept
Central Norte
0 : 0
Almirante Brown
Page 1 of 6

San Telmo

(Away)
04 Oct
San Telmo
3 : 2
Almirante Brown
27 Sept
CA Mitre
0 : 2
San Telmo
19 Sept
San Telmo
0 : 1
CA Estudiantes
12 Sept
All Boys
0 : 1
San Telmo
05 Sept
San Telmo
0 : 0
Los Andes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 32 15 13 4 32:15 58
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 32 13 9 10 34:26 48
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 32 13 7 12 32:31 46
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 32 11 9 12 27:30 42
12 Quilmes 32 10 9 13 30:27 39
13 Almagro 32 10 8 14 28:38 38
14 Agropecuario 32 9 10 13 26:35 37
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 32 9 6 17 24:33 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)