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Almodovar vs Cova De Piedade

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional - Group H 2013/2014
Almodovar Logo

Almodovar

1 - 1
FT
Cova De Piedade Logo

Cova De Piedade

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Nacional - Group H 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Almodovar
20%
Draws
58%
Cova De Piedade
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cova De Piedade

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cova De Piedade lately — more wins on the board than Almodovar.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Cova De Piedade taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional - Group H 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Almodovar Clean Sheet 10%
Cova De Piedade Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almodovar Cova De Piedade
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 4 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 21 14
Goals Scored 0.9 1.24
Goals Conceded 2.4 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Almodovar vs Cova De Piedade
1:1
Mar 2, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Cova De Piedade vs Almodovar
2:1
Dec 8, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Cova De Piedade vs Almodovar
2:1
Sep 15, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Almodovar vs Cova De Piedade
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almodovar 10 / 100
Cova De Piedade 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almodovar Cova De Piedade

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cova De Piedade Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Cova De Piedade conceded in 88% of 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Almodovar found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Almodovar remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Almodovar VS Cova De Piedade
1 Goals Scored 0.88
5 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Almodovar

(Home)
21 Sept
SC Espinho
5 : 1
Almodovar
23 Sept
Sporting Ideal
1 : 0
Almodovar
03 Sept
Almodovar
5 : 2
CDR Quarteirense
17 May
Moura AC
5 : 0
Almodovar
11 May
Almodovar
0 : 2
Louletano
Page 1 of 6

Cova De Piedade

(Away)
01 May
Cova De Piedade
0 : 1
Amora
23 Apr
Santarem
1 : 1
Cova De Piedade
17 Apr
Cova De Piedade
1 : 1
Caldas SC
09 Apr
Amora
1 : 2
Cova De Piedade
03 Apr
Cova De Piedade
2 : 0
Santarem
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moura AC 14 8 4 2 26:11 44
2 Louletano 14 7 5 2 22:12 37
3 Uniao Montemor 14 6 7 1 21:14 37
4 CDR Quarteirense 14 6 5 3 25:16 35
5 Cova De Piedade 14 5 3 6 23:25 31
6 FC Barreirense 14 4 6 4 16:17 28
7 Esperanca de Lagos 14 2 3 9 10:28 15
8 Almodovar 14 0 3 11 10:30 10
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2013/2014 (Play Out)