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Almodovar vs Louletano

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional - Group H 2013/2014
Almodovar Logo

Almodovar

2 - 1
FT
Louletano Logo

Louletano

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional - Group H 2013/2014 game between Almodovar and Louletano finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Almodovar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Almodovar
15%
Draws
68%
Louletano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Louletano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Louletano come out ahead of Almodovar on wins alone.
  • Louletano are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Louletano have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Almodovar Clean Sheet 13%
Louletano Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almodovar Louletano
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 4 20
Draws 5 7
Losses 21 7
Goals Scored 0.9 1.56
Goals Conceded 2.4 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Almodovar vs Louletano
0:2
Mar 23, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Louletano vs Almodovar
2:0
Jan 26, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Almodovar vs Louletano
2:1
Nov 17, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Louletano vs Almodovar
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almodovar 10 / 100
Louletano 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almodovar Louletano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Louletano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Almodovar's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Louletano has conceded goals in 50% of their last 34 outings.

Almodovar has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Louletano
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Almodovar

(Home)
21 Sept
SC Espinho
5 : 1
Almodovar
23 Sept
Sporting Ideal
1 : 0
Almodovar
03 Sept
Almodovar
5 : 2
CDR Quarteirense
17 May
Moura AC
5 : 0
Almodovar
11 May
Almodovar
0 : 2
Louletano
Page 1 of 6

Louletano

(Away)
20 Sept
Serpa
1 : 2
Louletano
12 Sept
Louletano
1 : 2
Santarem
06 Sept
Louletano
1 : 0
Lusitano GC
30 Aug
Castrense
0 : 1
Louletano
23 Aug
Caldas SC
2 : 4
Louletano
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pinhalnovense 18 10 6 2 28:11 36
2 Ferreiras 18 9 7 2 25:15 34
3 Moura AC 18 9 5 4 35:22 32
4 Cova De Piedade 18 6 8 4 22:21 26
5 Uniao Montemor 18 5 9 4 27:19 24
6 CDR Quarteirense 18 6 5 7 23:27 23
7 Louletano 18 6 3 9 22:22 21
8 FC Barreirense 18 5 5 8 18:21 20
9 Esperanca de Lagos 18 3 5 10 14:26 14
10 Almodovar 18 3 3 12 16:46 12
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2013/2014 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional - Group H 2013/2014 (Relegation Group)