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Almodovar vs Pinhalnovense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional - Group H 2013/2014
Almodovar Logo

Almodovar

0 - 2
FT
Pinhalnovense Logo

Pinhalnovense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pinhalnovense in this Campeonato Nacional - Group H 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pinhalnovense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Almodovar
30%
Draws
47%
Pinhalnovense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pinhalnovense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pinhalnovense lately — more wins on the board than Almodovar.
  • Model gives Pinhalnovense a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional - Group H 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Almodovar Clean Sheet 10%
Pinhalnovense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almodovar Pinhalnovense
Matches Played 30 23
Wins 4 11
Draws 5 4
Losses 21 8
Goals Scored 0.9 1.7
Goals Conceded 2.4 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 12, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Almodovar vs Pinhalnovense
0:2
Oct 27, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Pinhalnovense vs Almodovar
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almodovar 10 / 100
Pinhalnovense 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almodovar Pinhalnovense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pinhalnovense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Pinhalnovense let in goals in 65% of their last 23 matches.

Attacking prowess: Almodovar scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Almodovar went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Almodovar VS Pinhalnovense
1 Goals Scored 1.5
5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Almodovar

(Home)
21 Sept
SC Espinho
5 : 1
Almodovar
23 Sept
Sporting Ideal
1 : 0
Almodovar
03 Sept
Almodovar
5 : 2
CDR Quarteirense
17 May
Moura AC
5 : 0
Almodovar
11 May
Almodovar
0 : 2
Louletano
Page 1 of 6

Pinhalnovense

(Away)
12 Dec
Juv. Evora
0 : 0
Pinhalnovense
05 Dec
Pinhalnovense
4 : 1
Serpa
28 Nov
Louletano
2 : 2
Pinhalnovense
07 Nov
Pinhalnovense
0 : 0
FC Barreirense
31 Oct
Esperanca de Lagos
4 : 2
Pinhalnovense
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pinhalnovense 18 10 6 2 28:11 36
2 Ferreiras 18 9 7 2 25:15 34
3 Moura AC 18 9 5 4 35:22 32
4 Cova De Piedade 18 6 8 4 22:21 26
5 Uniao Montemor 18 5 9 4 27:19 24
6 CDR Quarteirense 18 6 5 7 23:27 23
7 Louletano 18 6 3 9 22:22 21
8 FC Barreirense 18 5 5 8 18:21 20
9 Esperanca de Lagos 18 3 5 10 14:26 14
10 Almodovar 18 3 3 12 16:46 12
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2013/2014 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional - Group H 2013/2014 (Relegation Group)