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Almudevar vs Atletico Escalerillas

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 17 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 17 2016/2017 game between Almudevar and Atletico Escalerillas finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Almudevar
15%
Draws
46%
Atletico Escalerillas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico Escalerillas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Almudevar come out ahead of Atletico Escalerillas on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Atletico Escalerillas's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Almudevar Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico Escalerillas Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almudevar Atletico Escalerillas
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.3 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Atletico Escalerillas vs Almudevar
1:3
Oct 16, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Almudevar vs Atletico Escalerillas
2:2
Feb 14, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Atletico Escalerillas vs Almudevar
2:2
Oct 4, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Almudevar vs Atletico Escalerillas
1:0
Jan 5, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Almudevar vs Atletico Escalerillas
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almudevar 28 / 100
Atletico Escalerillas 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almudevar Atletico Escalerillas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Escalerillas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Escalerillas let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Almudevar found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (33 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Almudevar stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Almudevar VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Almudevar

(Home)
13 Sept
Fraga
3 : 1
Almudevar
06 Sept
Almudevar
1 : 0
SD Ejea
10 May
Almudevar
3 : 2
Huesca B
03 May
CD Cuarte
2 : 0
Almudevar
23 Apr
Almudevar
0 : 1
CF Illueca
Page 1 of 7

Atletico Escalerillas

(Away)
14 May
Robres
3 : 2
Atletico Escalerillas
07 May
Atletico Escalerillas
3 : 0
Sarinena
30 Apr
Binefar
0 : 0
Atletico Escalerillas
23 Apr
Tamarite
3 : 2
Atletico Escalerillas
13 Apr
Atletico Escalerillas
3 : 0
CD Cuarte
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zaragoza B 38 26 7 5 85:30 85
2 Tarazona 38 19 9 10 68:46 66
3 Utebo FC 38 18 12 8 60:38 66
4 SD Ejea 38 18 10 10 59:38 64
5 Teruel 38 16 14 8 65:39 62
6 Borja 38 14 18 6 48:35 60
7 Almudevar 38 16 9 13 66:49 57
8 Robres 38 14 13 11 46:45 55
9 CF Illueca 38 13 14 11 50:42 53
10 Sabinanigo 38 15 8 15 53:51 53
11 Tamarite 38 15 6 17 56:69 51
12 Brea 38 13 9 16 48:55 48
13 Binefar 38 12 9 17 40:41 45
14 CD Carinena 38 12 9 17 55:64 45
15 CD Belchite 97 38 12 8 18 35:60 44
16 Sarinena 38 11 11 16 42:60 44
17 CD Cuarte 38 12 7 19 50:66 43
18 Atletico Escalerillas 38 10 9 19 46:60 39
19 Epila 38 10 6 22 38:75 36
20 Andorra CF 38 7 6 25 34:81 27
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)